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Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) are potent mathematical tools for modeling and predicting events with both temporal and spatial features. Despite their versatility, most existing methods for learning STPPs either assume a restricted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Zichong Li , Qunzhi Xu , Zhenghao Xu , Yajun Mei , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Zichong Li , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs), especially Hawkes Process are commonly used for modeling asynchronous event sequences data such as financial transactions and user behaviors in social networks. Due to the strong fitting ability of neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-14 Anningzhe Gao , Shan Dai

Event data consisting of time of occurrence of the events arises in several real-world applications. Recent works have introduced neural network based point processes for modeling event-times, and were shown to provide state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-20 Manisha Dubey , Ragja Palakkadavath , P. K. Srijith

In recent years, mining the knowledge from asynchronous sequences by Hawkes process is a subject worthy of continued attention, and Hawkes processes based on the neural network have gradually become the most hotly researched fields,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Lu-ning Zhang , Jian-wei Liu , Zhi-yan Song , Xin Zuo

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

Learning causal structure among event types on multi-type event sequences is an important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the Multivariate Hawkes processes, mostly assumed that each sequence is independent and identically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Ruichu Cai , Siyu Wu , Jie Qiao , Zhifeng Hao , Keli Zhang , Xi Zhang

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) arise naturally in medical, social, commercial, and financial domains. However, existing Transformer-based methods mostly inject temporal information only via positional encodings, relying on shared…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Xinzi Tan , Kejian Zhang , Junhan Yu , Doudou Zhou

Multivariate Hawkes processes are commonly used to model streaming networked event data in a wide variety of applications. However, it remains a challenge to extract reliable inference from complex datasets with uncertainty quantification.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-29 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak , Yao Xie

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) are widely used for modeling event sequences in various medical domains, such as disease onset prediction, progression analysis, and clinical decision support. Although TPPs effectively capture temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Yunyang Cao , Juekai Lin , Hongye Wang , Wenhao Li , Bo Jin

Physiological signal analysis often involves identifying events crucial to understanding biological dynamics. Traditional methods rely on handcrafted procedures or supervised learning, presenting challenges such as expert dependence, lack…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-26 Guillaume Staerman , Virginie Loison , Thomas Moreau

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Sequences of labeled events observed at irregular intervals in continuous time are ubiquitous across various fields. Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) provide a mathematical framework for modeling these sequences, enabling inferences such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Victor Dheur , Tanguy Bosser , Rafael Izbicki , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Online Surgical Phase Recognition (SPR) models can reach high frame-wise accuracy, yet their predictions often lack temporal stability, fragmenting workflow understanding and reducing the reliability of downstream assistance. We show that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Yang Liu , Ning Zhu , Jingjing Peng , Xiwu Chen , Alejandro Granados , Guotai Wang , Sebastien Ourselin

Asynchronous events sequences are widely distributed in the natural world and human activities, such as earthquakes records, users activities in social media and so on. How to distill the information from these seemingly disorganized data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Lu-ning Zhang , Jian-wei Liu , Zhi-yan Song , Xin Zuo

Human motion prediction is essential for tasks such as human motion analysis and human-robot interactions. Most existing approaches have been proposed to realize motion prediction. However, they ignore an important task, the evaluation of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-09 Pengxiang Ding , Jianqin Yin

Asynchronous time series, also known as temporal event sequences, are the basis of many applications throughout different industries. Temporal point processes(TPPs) are the standard method for modeling such data. Existing TPP models have…

The Hawkes process (HP) is commonly used to model event sequences with self-reinforcing dynamics, including electronic health records (EHRs). Traditional HPs capture self-reinforcement via parametric impact functions that can be inspected…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Yuankang Zhao , Matthew Engelhard
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