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相关论文: Exploiting Causal Graph Priors with Posterior Samp…

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Causality plays a pivotal role in various fields of study. Based on the framework of causal graphical models, previous works have proposed identifying whether a variable is a cause or non-cause of a target in every Markov equivalent graph…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-16 Qingyuan Zheng , Yue Liu , Yangbo He

A common problem in Machine Learning and statistics consists in detecting whether the current sample in a stream of data belongs to the same distribution as previous ones, is an isolated outlier or inaugurates a new distribution of data. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Vincent Moens

Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning is a formally elegant approach to learning optimal behaviour under model uncertainty, trading off exploration and exploitation in an ideal way. Unfortunately, finding the resulting Bayes-optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Arthur Guez , David Silver , Peter Dayan

Causal reasoning can be considered a cornerstone of intelligent systems. Having access to an underlying causal graph comes with the promise of cause-effect estimation and the identification of efficient and safe interventions. However,…

Causal representation learning aims to recover the latent causal variables and their causal relations, typically represented by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), from low-level observations such as image pixels. A prevailing line of research…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Ignavier Ng , Shaoan Xie , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Causal structure learning (CSL) refers to the task of learning causal relationships from data. Advances in CSL now allow learning of causal graphs in diverse application domains, which has the potential to facilitate data-driven causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-09 Luka Kovačević , Izzy Newsham , Sach Mukherjee , John Whittaker

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

While Reinforcement Learning (RL) achieves tremendous success in sequential decision-making problems of many domains, it still faces key challenges of data inefficiency and the lack of interpretability. Interestingly, many researchers have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Yan Zeng , Ruichu Cai , Fuchun Sun , Libo Huang , Zhifeng Hao

Bayesian causal discovery offers the power to quantify epistemic uncertainties among a broad range of structurally diverse causal theories potentially explaining the data, represented in forms of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-30 Nu Hoang , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Gaussian graphical models are a popular tool to learn the dependence structure in the form of a graph among variables of interest. Bayesian methods have gained in popularity in the last two decades due to their ability to simultaneously…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-02 Yabo Niu , Debdeep Pati , Bani Mallick

In scientific domains -- from biology to the social sciences -- many questions boil down to \textit{What effect will we observe if we intervene on a particular variable?} If the causal relationships (e.g.~a causal graph) are known, it is…

Causal knowledge about the relationships among decision variables and a reward variable in a bandit setting can accelerate the learning of an optimal decision. Current works often assume the causal graph is known, which may not always be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-07 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Murat Kocaoglu

Recently several researchers have investigated techniques for using data to learn Bayesian networks containing compact representations for the conditional probability distributions (CPDs) stored at each node. The majority of this work has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Causal understanding is important in many disciplines of science and engineering, where we seek to understand how different factors in the system causally affect an experiment or situation and pave a pathway towards creating effective or…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Miguel Arana-Catania , Weisi Guo

Probabilistic Graphical Bayesian models of causation have continued to impact on strategic analyses designed to help evaluate the efficacy of different interventions on systems. However, the standard causal algebras upon which these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-08 Preetha Ramiah , James Q. Smith , Oliver Bunnin , Silvia Liverani , Jamie Addison , Annabel Whipp

Causal Bayesian Optimization (CBO) is a methodology designed to optimize an outcome variable by leveraging known causal relationships through targeted interventions. Traditional CBO methods require a fully and accurately specified causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Jean Durand , Yashas Annadani , Stefan Bauer , Sonali Parbhoo

Decision Trees are some of the most popular machine learning models today due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. Often, Decision Trees models are constructed greedily in a top-down fashion via heuristic search…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Colin Sullivan , Mo Tiwari , Sebastian Thrun , Chris Piech

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

A reciprocal LASSO (rLASSO) regularization employs a decreasing penalty function as opposed to conventional penalization approaches that use increasing penalties on the coefficients, leading to stronger parsimony and superior model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Himel Mallick , Rahim Alhamzawi , Erina Paul , Vladimir Svetnik

Bayesian estimation of Gaussian graphical models has proven to be challenging because the conjugate prior distribution on the Gaussian precision matrix, the G-Wishart distribution, has a doubly intractable partition function. Recent…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2014-09-10 Max Hinne , Alex Lenkoski , Tom Heskes , Marcel van Gerven