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Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods typically require fully observed data to infer parameters of models with intractable likelihood functions. However, datasets often contain missing values due to incomplete observations, data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Yogesh Verma , Ayush Bharti , Vikas Garg

Performance monitoring of machine learning (ML)-based risk prediction models in healthcare is complicated by the issue of confounding medical interventions (CMI): when an algorithm predicts a patient to be at high risk for an adverse event,…

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are widely used in observational studies to estimate the causal effect of time-varying treatments. Despite its popularity, limited attention has been paid to summarizing the treatment history in the outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Jiewen Liu , Todd A. Miano , Stephen Griffiths , Michael G. S. Shashaty , Wei Yang

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) offers a principled and flexible framework for conducting Bayesian inference in any situation where forward simulations are feasible. However, validating the accuracy and reliability of the inferred…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-01-21 James Alvey , Carlo R. Contaldi , Mauro Pieroni

We focus on causal inference for longitudinal treatments, where units are assigned to treatments at multiple time points, aiming to assess the effect of different treatment sequences on an outcome observed at a final point. A common…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Federico Ricciardi , Alessandra Mattei , Fabrizia Mealli

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

We analyze the split-sample robust inference (SSRI) methodology proposed by Chernozhukov, Demirer, Duflo, and Fernandez-Val (CDDF) for quantifying uncertainty in heterogeneous treatment effect estimation. While SSRI effectively accounts for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

Often in real-world datasets, especially in high dimensional data, some feature values are missing. Since most data analysis and statistical methods do not handle gracefully missing values, the first step in the analysis requires the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Yehezkel S. Resheff , Daphna Weinshall

In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

With the evolution of single-cell RNA sequencing techniques into a standard approach in genomics, it has become possible to conduct cohort-level causal inferences based on single-cell-level measurements. However, the individual gene…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Jin-Hong Du , Zhenghao Zeng , Edward H. Kennedy , Larry Wasserman , Kathryn Roeder

In this study, we introduce a sophisticated generative conditional strategy designed to impute missing values within datasets, an area of considerable importance in statistical analysis. Specifically, we initially elucidate the theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-05 George Sun , Yi-Hui Zhou

Consider estimating the G-formula for the counterfactual mean outcome under a given treatment regime in a longitudinal study. Bang and Robins provided an estimator for this quantity that relies on a sequential regression formulation of this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-18 Alexander R. Luedtke , Oleg Sofrygin , Mark J. van der Laan , Marco Carone

Missing data is inevitable in longitudinal clinical trials. Conventionally, the missing at random assumption is assumed to handle missingness, which however is unverifiable empirically. Thus, sensitivity analysis is critically important to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Siyi Liu , Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan , Liu

Observational longitudinal data on treatments and covariates are increasingly used to investigate treatment effects, but are often subject to time-dependent confounding. Marginal structural models (MSMs), estimated using inverse probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-11 Ruth H. Keogh , Shaun R. Seaman , Jon Michael Gran , Stijn Vansteelandt

LLM development has aroused great interest in Sequential Recommendation (SR) applications. However, comprehensive evaluation of SR models remains lacking due to the limitations of the existing benchmarks: 1) an overemphasis on accuracy,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Jianhong Li , Zeheng Qian , Wangze Ni , Haoyang Li , Hongwei Yao , Yang Bai , Kui Ren

Long-horizon LLM agents rely on persistent memory to support interactions across sessions, yet existing memory systems often retrieve context using semantic similarity or broad history inclusion, treating retrieved memories as uniformly…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Saksham Sahai Srivastava

Missing outcomes are a commonly occurring problem for cluster randomised trials, which can lead to biased and inefficient inference if ignored or handled inappropriately. Two approaches for analysing such trials are cluster-level analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-19 Anower Hossain , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Jonathan W. Bartlett

In ordinary quantile regression, quantiles of different order are estimated one at a time. An alternative approach, which is referred to as quantile regression coefficients modeling (QRCM), is to model quantile regression coefficients as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Paolo Frumento , Matteo Bottai , Iván Fernández-Val

The advent of the Internet era has led to an explosive growth in the Electronic Health Records (EHR) in the past decades. The EHR data can be regarded as a collection of clinical events, including laboratory results, medication records,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-14 Zichang Wang , Haoran Li , Luchen Liu , Haoxian Wu , Ming Zhang