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相关论文: Unified Long-Term Time-Series Forecasting Benchmar…

200 篇论文

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

Spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in the agricultural, ecological, and environmental sciences, and their study is important for understanding and predicting a wide variety of processes. One of the difficulties with modeling spatial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-25 Christopher K. Wikle

Time series forecasting is essential for operational intelligence in the hospitality industry, and particularly challenging in large-scale, distributed systems. This study evaluates the performance of statistical, machine learning (ML),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Issar Arab , Rodrigo Benitez

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promising performance in time series modeling tasks, but do they truly understand time series data? While multiple benchmarks have been proposed to answer this fundamental question, most are manually…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Malgorzata Gwiazda , Yifu Cai , Mononito Goswami , Arjun Choudhry , Artur Dubrawski

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies

Recently, significant advancements have been made in time-series forecasting research, with an increasing focus on analyzing the nature of time-series data, e.g, channel-independence (CI) and channel-dependence (CD), rather than solely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-04 Wei Li , Xiangxu Meng , Chuhao Chen , Jianing Chen

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

Modeling long horizon marked event sequences is a fundamental challenge in many real-world applications, including healthcare, finance, and user behavior modeling. Existing neural temporal point process models are typically autoregressive,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Xiao Shou

Recent advancements in deep learning models for time series forecasting have been significant. These models often leverage fundamental time series properties such as seasonality and non-stationarity, which may suggest an intrinsic link…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Fei Wang , Yujie Li , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yisong Fu , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu , Xueqi Cheng

Recent advances in long-term time series forecasting have introduced numerous complex supervised prediction models that consistently outperform previously published architectures. However, this rapid progression raises concerns regarding…

In this paper we investigate to what extent long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs) are suitable for demand forecasting in the e-grocery retail sector. For this purpose, univariate as well as multivariate LSTM-based models were…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-20 Marta Gołąbek , Robin Senge , Rainer Neumann

Providing long-range forecasts is a fundamental challenge in time series modeling, which is only compounded by the challenge of having to form such forecasts when a time series has never previously been observed. The latter challenge is the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Alex Tank , Alec Greaves-Tunnell , Emily Fox

Deep Learning and transfer learning models are being used to generate time series forecasts; however, there is scarce evidence about their performance prediction that it is more evident for monthly time series. The purpose of this paper is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Martín Solís , Luis-Alexander Calvo-Valverde

We focus on solving the univariate times series point forecasting problem using deep learning. We propose a deep neural architecture based on backward and forward residual links and a very deep stack of fully-connected layers. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-24 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio

Data-driven approaches, most prominently deep learning, have become powerful tools for prediction in many domains. A natural question to ask is whether data-driven methods could also be used to predict global weather patterns days in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-30 Stephan Rasp , Peter D. Dueben , Sebastian Scher , Jonathan A. Weyn , Soukayna Mouatadid , Nils Thuerey

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has sparked growing interest in their application to time series analysis tasks. However, their ability to perform complex reasoning over temporal data in real-world application domains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Wen Ye , Jinbo Liu , Defu Cao , Wei Yang , Yan Liu

This research investigates flight delay trends by examining factors such as departure time, airline, and airport. It employs regression machine learning methods to predict the contributions of various sources to delays. Time-series models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-07 Aravinda Jatavallabha , Jacob Gerlach , Aadithya Naresh

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun