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The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Climate models lack the necessary resolution for urban climate studies, requiring computationally intensive processes to estimate high resolution air temperatures. In contrast, Data-driven approaches offer faster and more accurate air…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-05 Fatemeh Chajaei , Hossein Bagheri

Wind downscaling is essential for improving the spatial resolution of weather forecasts, particularly in operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). This study advances wind downscaling by extending the DownGAN framework introduced by…

Forecasting global precipitation patterns and, in particular, extreme precipitation events is of critical importance to preparing for and adapting to climate change. Making accurate high-resolution precipitation forecasts using traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 James Duncan , Shashank Subramanian , Peter Harrington

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

Predicting molecular conformations from molecular graphs is a fundamental problem in cheminformatics and drug discovery. Recently, significant progress has been achieved with machine learning approaches, especially with deep generative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Minkai Xu , Lantao Yu , Yang Song , Chence Shi , Stefano Ermon , Jian Tang

A recent report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) highlights that water-related disasters have caused the highest human losses among natural disasters over the past 50 years, with over 91\% of deaths occurring in low-income…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Ting-Yu Dai , Hayato Ushijima-Mwesigwa

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a possible climate engineering strategy where reflective particles are injected into the stratosphere, has been explored to mitigate global warming and its associated risks, such as the intensification…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-25 Cameron Dong , James W. Hurrell , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Data-driven weather prediction models exhibit promising performance and advance continuously. In particular, diffusion models represent fine-scale details without spatial smoothing, which is crucial for mesoscale predictions, such as heavy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Yuta Hirabayashi , Daisuke Matsuoka

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

The ocean interior regulates Earth's climate but remains sparsely observed due to limited in situ measurements, while satellite observations are restricted to the surface. We present a depth-aware generative framework for reconstructing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-06 Niloofar Asefi , Tianning Wu , Ruoying He , Ashesh Chattopadhyay

Typically, numerical simulations of Earth systems are coarse, and Earth observations are sparse and gappy. We apply four generative diffusion modeling approaches to super-resolution and inference of forced two-dimensional quasi-geostrophic…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-12-02 Anantha Narayanan Suresh Babu , Akhil Sadam , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is a powerful tool for modeling turbulent flow and is commonly used for urban microclimate simulations. However, traditional CFD methods are computationally intensive, requiring substantial hardware…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-01-10 Sepehrdad Tahmasebi , Geng Tian , Shaoxiang Qin , Ahmed Marey , Liangzhu Leon Wang , Saeed Rayegan

Diffusion and flow-based models have enabled significant progress in generation tasks across various modalities and have recently found applications in predictive learning. However, unlike typical generation tasks that encourage sample…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Yu Zhang , Xingzhuo Guo , Haoran Xu , Jialong Wu , Mingsheng Long

Accurate short-term streamflow and flood forecasting are critical for mitigating river flood impacts, especially given the increasing climate variability. Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting relies on large streamflow datasets…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-09 Xiyu Pan , Neda Mohammadi , John E. Taylor

Super-resolving the coarse outputs of global climate simulations, termed downscaling, is crucial in making political and social decisions on systems requiring long-term climate change projections. Existing fast super-resolution techniques,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-04-18 Norihiro Oyama , Noriko N. Ishizaki , Satoshi Koide , Hiroaki Yoshida

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Data scarcity is a primary obstacle in developing robust Machine Learning (ML) models for detecting rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones. Traditional data augmentation techniques (rotation, flipping, brightness adjustment) fail to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Marawan Yakout , Tannistha Maiti , Monira Majhabeen , Tarry Singh