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Models for predicting aircraft motion are an important component of modern aeronautical systems. These models help aircraft plan collision avoidance maneuvers and help conduct offline performance and safety analyses. In this article, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Shane Barratt , Mykel Kochenderfer , Stephen Boyd

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction (TP) in air traffic management systems is confounded by a number of epistemic uncertainties, dominated by uncertain meteorological conditions and operator specific procedures. Handling this…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-21 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-08 Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Sergey Prokudin , Bernhard Scholkopf , Jan Peters

Effectively managing Air Traffic Control Officer (ATCO) workload is crucial in maintaining operational safety. Group supervisors use tools that estimate upcoming traffic load to aid decision-making. However, industry-standard models can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Edward Henderson , George De Ath , Nick Pepper

Accurate trajectory prediction (TP) for climbing aircraft is hampered by the presence of epistemic uncertainties concerning aircraft operation, which can lead to significant misspecification between predicted and observed trajectories. This…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-13 Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Real-time assessment of near-term Air Traffic Controller (ATCO) task demand is a critical challenge in an increasingly crowded airspace, as existing complexity metrics often fail to capture nuanced operational drivers beyond simple aircraft…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-21 Edward Henderson , Dewi Gould , Richard Everson , George De Ath , Nick Pepper

Trajectory prediction (TP) is crucial for ensuring safety and efficiency in modern air traffic management systems. It is, for example, a core component of conflict detection and resolution tools, arrival sequencing algorithms, capacity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas , Zack Xuereb Conti

Reliable 4D aircraft trajectory prediction, whether in a real-time setting or for analysis of counterfactuals, is important to the efficiency of the aviation system. Toward this end, we first propose a highly generalizable efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-01 Yulin Liu , Mark Hansen

Enabling resilient autonomous motion planning requires robust predictions of surrounding road users' future behavior. In response to this need and the associated challenges, we introduce our model titled MTP-GO. The model encodes the scene…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Theodor Westny , Joel Oskarsson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

Trajectory and intention prediction of traffic participants is an important task in automated driving and crucial for safe interaction with the environment. In this paper, we present a new approach to vehicle trajectory prediction based on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-06-15 Jannik Quehl , Haohao Hu , Sascha Wirges , Martin Lauer

Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are critical for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles and wheeled mobile robotics navigating in complex scenarios to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-07-30 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Forecasting pedestrian trajectories in dynamic scenes remains a critical problem in various applications, such as autonomous driving and socially aware robots. Such forecasting is challenging due to human-human and human-object interactions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Biao Yang , Caizhen He , Pin Wang , Ching-yao Chan , Xiaofeng Liu , Yang Chen

Continued great efforts have been dedicated towards high-quality trajectory generation based on optimization methods, however, most of them do not suitably and effectively consider the situation with moving obstacles; and more particularly,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-05 Xiaoxue Zhang , Jun Ma , Zilong Cheng , Sunan Huang , Shuzhi Sam Ge , Tong Heng Lee

Autonomous systems in the road transportation network require intelligent mechanisms that cope with uncertainty to foresee the future. In this paper, we propose a multi-stage probabilistic approach for trajectory forecasting: trajectory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Tiago Rodrigues de Almeida , Oscar Martinez Mozos

Take-off and landing are the periods of a flight where aircraft are most vulnerable to a ground based rocket attack by terrorists. While aircraft approach and depart from airports on pre-defined flight paths, there is a degree of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-31 Willem J. Eerland , Simon Box

Trajectory Prediction (TP) is an important research topic in computer vision and robotics fields. Recently, many stochastic TP models have been proposed to deal with this problem and have achieved better performance than the traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Chunnan Wang , Chen Liang , Xiang Chen , Hongzhi Wang

Predicting flight trajectories is a research area that holds significant merit. In this paper, we propose a data-driven learning framework, that leverages the predictive and feature extraction capabilities of the mixture models and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Jun Xiang , Jun Chen

Precise modeling of microscopic vehicle trajectories is critical for traffic behavior analysis and autonomous driving systems. We propose Ctx2TrajGen, a context-aware trajectory generation framework that synthesizes realistic urban driving…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Joobin Jin , Seokjun Hong , Gyeongseon Baek , Yeeun Kim , Byeongjoon Noh

Coordination recognition and subtle pattern prediction of future trajectories play a significant role when modeling interactive behaviors of multiple agents. Due to the essential property of uncertainty in the future evolution,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-05-03 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

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