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An important problem in many domains is to predict how a system will respond to interventions. This task is inherently linked to estimating the system's underlying causal structure. To this end, Invariant Causal Prediction (ICP) (Peters et…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-21 Christina Heinze-Deml , Jonas Peters , Nicolai Meinshausen

It has become increasingly common nowadays to collect observations of feature and response pairs from different environments. As a consequence, one has to apply learned predictors to data with a different distribution due to distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

A fundamental difficulty of causal learning is that causal models can generally not be fully identified based on observational data only. Interventional data, that is, data originating from different experimental environments, improves…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-04 Juan L. Gamella , Christina Heinze-Deml

Machine learning can benefit from causal discovery for interpretation and from causal inference for generalization. In this line of research, a few invariant learning algorithms for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-06 Borja Guerrero Santillan

Selecting powerful predictors for an outcome is a cornerstone task for machine learning. However, some types of questions can only be answered by identifying the predictors that causally affect the outcome. A recent approach to this causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-01 Guillaume Martinet , Alexander Strzalkowski , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We consider the task of identifying the causal parents of a target variable among a set of candidates from observational data. Our main assumption is that the candidate variables are observed in different environments which may, under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Alexander Mey , Rui Manuel Castro

Inferring the causal direction and causal effect between two discrete random variables X and Y from a finite sample is often a crucial problem and a challenging task. However, if we have access to observational and interventional data, it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Peter Gmeiner

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Learning causal structures from observational data is a fundamental problem facing important computational challenges when the number of variables is large. In the context of linear structural equation models (SEMs), this paper focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Shuyu Dong , Kento Uemura , Akito Fujii , Shuang Chang , Yusuke Koyanagi , Koji Maruhashi , Michèle Sebag

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

In nonlinear latent variable models or dynamic models, if we consider the latent variables as confounders (common causes), the noise dependencies imply further relations between the observed variables. Such models are then closely related…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Kun Zhang , Bernhard Schoelkopf , Dominik Janzing

Invariant causal prediction (ICP) is a popular technique for finding causal parents (direct causes) of a target via exploiting distribution shifts and invariance testing (Peters et al., 2016). However, since ICP needs to run an exponential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Minh Nguyen , Mert R. Sabuncu

Estimating causal effects from observational data requires identifying valid adjustment sets. This task is especially challenging in realistic settings where latent confounding and feedback loops are present. Existing approaches typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Ana Leticia Garcez Vicente , Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

Negative controls are increasingly used to evaluate the presence of potential unmeasured confounding in observational studies. Beyond the use of negative controls to detect the presence of residual confounding, proximal causal inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Jiewen Liu , Chan Park , Kendrick Li , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) is a set of distribution-free and model agnostic algorithms devised to predict with a user-defined confidence with coverage guarantee. Instead of having point predictions, i.e., a real number in the case…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-05 Martim Sousa

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Consider learning an imitation policy on the basis of demonstrated behavior from multiple environments, with an eye towards deployment in an unseen environment. Since the observable features from each setting may be different, directly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-06 Ioana Bica , Daniel Jarrett , Mihaela van der Schaar

For decades, researchers in fields, such as the natural and social sciences, have been verifying causal relationships and investigating hypotheses that are now well-established or understood as truth. These causal mechanisms are properties…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Trent Kyono , Mihaela van der Schaar

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

The extraction of invariant causal relationships from time series data with environmental attributes is critical for robust decision-making in domains such as climate science and environmental monitoring. However, existing methods either…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Ziruo Hao , Tao Yang , Xiaofeng Wu , Bo Hu
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