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In this paper, we introduce ProNet, an novel deep learning approach designed for multi-horizon time series forecasting, adaptively blending autoregressive (AR) and non-autoregressive (NAR) strategies. Our method involves dividing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Yang Lin

Long-term Time Series Forecasting is crucial across numerous critical domains, yet its accuracy remains fundamentally constrained by the receptive field bottleneck in existing models. Mainstream Transformer- and Multi-layer Perceptron…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Weixu Wang , Xiaobo Zhou , Xin Qiao , Lei Wang , Tie Qiu

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Deployed machine learning models are confronted with the problem of changing data over time, a phenomenon also called concept drift. While existing approaches of concept drift detection already show convincing results, they require true…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-26 Lucas Baier , Tim Schlör , Jakob Schöffer , Niklas Kühl

In this paper, we find that existing online forecasting methods have the following issues: 1) They do not consider the update frequency of streaming data and directly use labels (future signals) to update the model, leading to information…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Jing Wang , Dongfeng Yuan , Minggao Zhang

This paper presents FDNet: a Focal Decomposed Network for efficient, robust and practical time series forecasting. We break away from conventional deep time series forecasting formulas which obtain prediction results from universal feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang , Huaxin Qiu

Long-term time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in various real-world applications. Despite recent advancements and the success of different architectures, forecasting is often challenging due to non-stationary nature of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-29 Mert Sonmezer , Seyda Ertekin

In recent years, there has been significant progress in the development of fully data-driven global numerical weather prediction models. These machine learning weather prediction models have their strength, notably accuracy and low…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Massimo Bonavita

Data stream mining problem has caused widely concerns in the area of machine learning and data mining. In some recent studies, ensemble classification has been widely used in concept drift detection, however, most of them regard…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-08-14 Junhong Wang , Shuliang Xu , Bingqian Duan , Caifeng Liu , Jiye Liang

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in various domains. Caused by factors such as trends, seasonality, or irregular fluctuations, time series often exhibits non-stationary. It obstructs stable feature propagation through deep layers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Lexin Fang , Tianlong Zhao , Caiming Zhang

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a crucial task in web search, recommender systems, and online advertisement displaying. In practical application, CTR models often serve with high-speed user-generated data streams, whose underlying…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Congcong Liu , Yuejiang Li , Fei Teng , Xiwei Zhao , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Jinghe Hu , Jingping Shao

In real-world applications, machine learning models often become obsolete due to shifts in the joint distribution arising from underlying temporal trends, a phenomenon known as the "concept drift". Existing works propose model-specific…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Chia-Yuan Chang , Yu-Neng Chuang , Zhimeng Jiang , Kwei-Herng Lai , Anxiao Jiang , Na Zou

Deep learning models are widely used for time series classification (TSC) due to their scalability and efficiency. However, their performance degrades under challenging data conditions such as class similarity, multimodal distributions, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Yaoyu Zhang , Chi-Guhn Lee

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

We propose Enhash, a fast ensemble learner that detects \textit{concept drift} in a data stream. A stream may consist of abrupt, gradual, virtual, or recurring events, or a mixture of various types of drift. Enhash employs projection hash…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Aashi Jindal , Prashant Gupta , Debarka Sengupta , Jayadeva

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Deep learning models have gained increasing prominence in recent years in the field of solar pho-tovoltaic (PV) forecasting. One drawback of these models is that they require a lot of high-quality data to perform well. This is often…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-13 Joris Depoortere , Johan Driesen , Johan Suykens , Hussain Syed Kazmi

Concept drift describes unforeseeable changes in the underlying distribution of streaming data over time. Concept drift research involves the development of methodologies and techniques for drift detection, understanding and adaptation.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-14 Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , Fan Dong , Feng Gu , Joao Gama , Guangquan Zhang

Accurate Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for collaborative design of complex systems, Digital Twin building, and maintenance ahead of time. However, the collaborative industrial environment presents new challenges for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Kun Xia , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

One unique property of time series is that the temporal relations are largely preserved after downsampling into two sub-sequences. By taking advantage of this property, we propose a novel neural network architecture that conducts sample…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Minhao Liu , Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Zhijian Xu , Qiuxia Lai , Lingna Ma , Qiang Xu