中文
相关论文

相关论文: To Predict or to Reject: Causal Effect Estimation …

200 篇论文

Causal discovery aims to uncover cause-and-effect relationships encoded in causal graphs by leveraging observational, interventional data, or their combination. The majority of existing causal discovery methods are developed assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu , Mahsa Ghasemi

Despite the success of deep learning in dermoscopy image analysis, its inherent black-box nature hinders clinical trust, motivating the use of prototypical networks for case-based visual transparency. However, inevitable selection bias in…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-02 Junhao Jia , Yueyi Wu , Huangwei Chen , Haodong Jing , Haishuai Wang , Jiajun Bu , Lei Wu

Randomized experiments in which the treatment of a unit can affect the outcomes of other units are becoming increasingly common in healthcare, economics, and in the social and information sciences. From a causal inference perspective, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Daniel L. Sussman , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Deep learning vulnerability detection has shown promising results in recent years. However, an important challenge that still blocks it from being very useful in practice is that the model is not robust under perturbation and it cannot…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Md Mahbubur Rahman , Ira Ceka , Chengzhi Mao , Saikat Chakraborty , Baishakhi Ray , Wei Le

Dependence between nodes in a network is an important concept that pervades many areas including finance, politics, sociology, genomics and the brain sciences. One way to characterize dependence between components of a multivariate time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-08 Malik Shahid Sultan , Samuel Horvath , Hernando Ombao

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

Estimating the effect of intervention from observational data while accounting for confounding variables is a key task in causal inference. Oftentimes, the confounders are unobserved, but we have access to large amounts of additional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Shachi Deshpande , Kaiwen Wang , Dhruv Sreenivas , Zheng Li , Volodymyr Kuleshov

We develop a method to decompose causal effects on a social network into an indirect effect mediated by the network, and a direct effect independent of the social network. To handle the complexity of network structures, we assume that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Alex Hayes , Mark M. Fredrickson , Keith Levin

There is a brief description of the probabilistic causal graph model for representing, reasoning with, and learning causal structure using Bayesian networks. It is then argued that this model is closely related to how humans reason with and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Scott B. Morris , Doug Cork , Richard E. Neapolitan

We study the effect of structural variation in graph data on the predictive performance of graph kernels. To this end, we introduce a novel, noise-robust adaptation of the GraphHopper kernel and validate it on benchmark data, obtaining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-02 Rune Kok Nielsen , Andreas Nugaard Holm , Aasa Feragen

Despite significant advancements in causal research on graphs and its application to cracking label imbalance, the role of edge features in detecting the causal effects within graphs has been largely overlooked, leaving existing methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Fengrui Zhang , Yujia Yin , Hongzong Li , Yifan Chen , Tianyi Qu

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal inference analysis is the estimation of the effects of actions on outcomes. In the context of healthcare data this means estimating the outcome of counter-factual treatments (i.e. including treatments that were not observed) on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-21 Yishai Shimoni , Chen Yanover , Ehud Karavani , Yaara Goldschmnidt

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

Mechanistic interpretability aims to reverse-engineer transformer computations by identifying causal circuits through activation patching. However, scaling these interventions across diverse prompts and task families produces…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Ruben Fernandez-Boullon , David N. Olivieri

Randomized experiments are a powerful methodology for data-driven evaluation of decisions or interventions. Yet, their validity may be undermined by network interference. This occurs when the treatment of one unit impacts not only its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Counterfactual explanations promote explainability in machine learning models by answering the question "how should an input instance be perturbed to obtain a desired predicted label?". The comparison of this instance before and after…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Jing Ma , Ruocheng Guo , Saumitra Mishra , Aidong Zhang , Jundong Li

Probabilistic machine learning models are often insufficient to help with decisions on interventions because those models find correlations - not causal relationships. If observational data is only available and experimentation are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-13 Marios Papamichalis , Abhishek Ray , Ilias Bilionis , Karthik Kannan , Rajiv Krishnamurthy

We develop a criterion to certify whether causal effects are identifiable in linear structural equation models with latent variables. Linear structural equation models correspond to directed graphs whose nodes represent the random variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-25 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton