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We investigate a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) with component means constrained in a pre-selected subspace. Applications to classification and clustering are explored. An EM-type estimation algorithm is derived. We prove that the subspace…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-08-27 Mu Qiao , Jia Li

Several emerging post-Bayesian methods target a probability distribution for which an entropy-regularised variational objective is minimised. This increased flexibility introduces a computational challenge, as one loses access to an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Clémentine Chazal , Heishiro Kanagawa , Zheyang Shen , Anna Korba , Chris. J. Oates

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a principled framework for conducting experiments that leverages Bayesian inference to quantify how much information one can expect to gain from selecting a certain design. However, accurate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-12 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski

Post-data statistical inference concerns making probability statements about model parameters conditional on observed data. When a priori knowledge about parameters is available, post-data inference can be conveniently made from Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-05 Yang Liu , Jan Hannig , Alexander C Murph

Tests of general relativity (GR) can be systematically biased when our waveform models are inaccurate. We here study systematic biases in tests of general relativity induced by neglecting lensing effects for millilensed gravitational-wave…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-10-30 Anna Liu , Rohit S. Chandramouli , Otto A. Hannuksela , Nicolás Yunes , Tjonnie G. F. Li

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

A key problem in the theory of meta-learning is to understand how the task distributions influence transfer risk, the expected error of a meta-learner on a new task drawn from the unknown task distribution. In this paper, focusing on fixed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Mikhail Konobeev , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

In this work, we propose a novel Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) approach based on Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs), marking the first application of GGMs to PEFT tasks, to the best of our knowledge. The proposed method utilizes the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-12 Jingjing Zheng , Yankai Cao

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) were proposed as an expressive Bayesian model capable of a mathematically grounded estimation of uncertainty. The expressivity of DPGs results from not only the compositional character but the distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

In this paper we describe General Covariance Union (GCU) and show that solutions to GCU and the Minimum Enclosing Ellipsoid (MEE) problems are equivalent. This is a surprising result because GCU is defined over positive semidefinite (PSD)…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2010-12-22 Ottmar Bochardt , Jeffrey Uhlmann

Much of the field of Machine Learning exhibits a prominent set of failure modes, including vulnerability to adversarial examples, poor out-of-distribution (OoD) detection, miscalibration, and willingness to memorize random labelings of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Ian Fischer

We investigate uncertainties in the estimation of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) arising from Gaussian Process (GP) reconstruction, demonstrating that the choice of kernel introduces systematic variations comparable to those arising from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Ruchika , Purba Mukherjee , Arianna Favale

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

We propose a novel consensus notion, called "partial consensus", for distributed GM-PHD (Gaussian mixture probability hypothesis density) fusion based on a peer-to-peer (P2P) sensor network, in which only highly-weighted posterior Gaussian…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2021-04-21 Tiancheng Li , Juan M Corchado , Shudong Sun

The absence of formal performance guarantees in machine learning (ML) has limited its adoption for safety-critical power system applications, where confidence and interpretability are as vital as accuracy. In this work, we present a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-16 Parikshit Pareek , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

The Gaussian kernel plays a central role in machine learning, uncertainty quantification and scattered data approximation, but has received relatively little attention from a numerical analysis standpoint. The basic problem of finding an…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-04-02 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates , Mark Girolami

Due to the increasing complexity of technical systems, accurate first principle models can often not be obtained. Supervised machine learning can mitigate this issue by inferring models from measurement data. Gaussian process regression is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-11 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

In this paper, the method of gaps, a technique for deriving closed-form expressions in terms of information measures for the generalization error of supervised machine learning algorithms is introduced. The method relies on the notion of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Samir M. Perlaza , Xinying Zou

This paper studies properties of fixed points of generalised Extra-gradient (GEG) algorithms applied to min-max problems. We discuss connections between saddle points of the objective function of the min-max problem and GEG fixed points. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-07 Amir Ali Farzin , Yuen-Man Pun , Philipp Braun , Iman Shames