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相关论文: Empirical Risk Minimization for Losses without Var…

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We consider two recent suggestions for how to perform an empirically motivated Monte Carlo study to help select a treatment effect estimator under unconfoundedness. We show theoretically that neither is likely to be informative except under…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-04-18 Arun Advani , Toru Kitagawa , Tymon Słoczyński

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong

In this paper we study the differentially private Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) problem in different settings. For smooth (strongly) convex loss function with or without (non)-smooth regularization, we give algorithms that achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-15 Di Wang , Minwei Ye , Jinhui Xu

We derive bounds on the sample complexity of empirical risk minimization (ERM) in the context of minimizing non-convex risks that admit the strict saddle property. Recent progress in non-convex optimization has yielded efficient algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-06 Alon Gonen , Shai Shalev-Shwartz

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

In this paper, we present a simple analysis of {\bf fast rates} with {\it high probability} of {\bf empirical minimization} for {\it stochastic composite optimization} over a finite-dimensional bounded convex set with exponential concave…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-12 Tianbao Yang , Zhe Li , Lijun Zhang

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

We address the problem of policy evaluation in discounted Markov decision processes, and provide instance-dependent guarantees on the $\ell_\infty$-error under a generative model. We establish both asymptotic and non-asymptotic versions of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Koulik Khamaru , Ashwin Pananjady , Feng Ruan , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Optimization models used to make discrete decisions often contain uncertain parameters that are context-dependent and estimated through prediction. To account for the quality of the decision made based on the prediction, decision-focused…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Noah Schutte , Krzysztof Postek , Neil Yorke-Smith

This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-03-30 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter

Conventional methods for extreme event estimation rely on well-chosen parametric models asymptotically justified from extreme value theory (EVT). These methods, while powerful and theoretically grounded, could however encounter a difficult…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang

Regret minimization in stochastic non-stationary bandits gained popularity over the last decade, as it can model a broad class of real-world problems, from advertising to recommendation systems. Existing literature relies on various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Gianmarco Genalti , Sujay Bhatt , Nicola Gatti , Alberto Maria Metelli

In many scientific experiments, the data annotating cost constraints the pace for testing novel hypotheses. Yet, modern machine learning pipelines offer a promising solution, provided their predictions yield correct conclusions. We focus on…

This paper studies the statistical theory of batch data reinforcement learning with function approximation. Consider the off-policy evaluation problem, which is to estimate the cumulative value of a new target policy from logged history…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Yaqi Duan , Mengdi Wang

Various algorithms in reinforcement learning exhibit dramatic variability in their convergence rates and ultimate accuracy as a function of the problem structure. Such instance-specific behavior is not captured by existing global minimax…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Koulik Khamaru , Eric Xia , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-23 Chiara Amorino , Christian Brownlees , Ankita Ghosh

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

In reinforcement learning, robust policies for high-stakes decision-making problems with limited data are usually computed by optimizing the percentile criterion, which minimizes the probability of a catastrophic failure. Unfortunately,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-01 Elita A. Lobo , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Marek Petrik

Recent empirical and theoretical analyses of several commonly used prediction procedures reveal a peculiar risk behavior in high dimensions, referred to as double/multiple descent, in which the asymptotic risk is a non-monotonic function of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-26 Pratik Patil , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Yuting Wei , Alessandro Rinaldo