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Optimizing complex manufacturing processes often involves a trade-off between data accuracy and acquisition cost. High-fidelity data are accurate but limited, while low-fidelity data are abundant but often biased. Balancing these two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Fan Zhang , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Dhanashree Shinde , Gang Li , Sai Aditya Pradeep , Srikanth Pilla

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

In this work, a novel approach to Bayesian model calibration routines is developed which reinterprets the traditional definition of model discrepancy as defined by Kennedy and O'Hagan (KOH). The novelty lies in the integration of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Liam Myhill , Enrique Martinez Saez , Sez Russcher

This paper develops a Bayesian network-based method for the calibration of multi-physics models, integrating various sources of uncertainty with information from computational models and experimental data. We adopt the Kennedy and O'Hagan…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-25 You Ling , Joshua Mullins , Sankaran Mahadevan

The Kennedy and O'Hagan (KOH) calibration framework uses coupled Gaussian processes (GPs) to meta-model an expensive simulator (first GP), tune its ``knobs" (calibration inputs) to best match observations from a real physical/field…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-01 Scott Koermer , Justin Loda , Aaron Noble , Robert B. Gramacy

Marginalization of latent variables or nuisance parameters is a fundamental aspect of Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification. In this work, we focus on scalable marginalization of latent variables in modeling correlated data,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Mengyang Gu , Xubo Liu , Xinyi Fang , Sui Tang

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Kernel ridge regression is an important nonparametric method for estimating smooth functions. We introduce a new set of conditions, under which the actual rates of convergence of the kernel ridge regression estimator under both the L_2 norm…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-03 Rui Tuo , Yan Wang , C. F. Jeff Wu

We use available measurements to estimate the unknown parameters (variance, smoothness parameter, and covariance length) of a covariance function by maximizing the joint Gaussian log-likelihood function. To overcome cubic complexity in the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-13 Alexander Litvinenko , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David Keyes

Gaussian processes (GPs) are important models in supervised machine learning. Training in Gaussian processes refers to selecting the covariance functions and the associated parameters in order to improve the outcome of predictions, the core…

Identification of model parameters in computer simulations is an important topic in computer experiments. We propose a new method, called the projected kernel calibration method, to estimate these model parameters. The proposed method is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-10 Rui Tuo

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We provide an efficient method for computing the maximum likelihood mixed quantum state (with density matrix $\rho$) given a set of measurement outcome in a complete orthonormal operator basis subject to Gaussian noise. Our method works by…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-04-29 John A. Smolin , Jay M. Gambetta , Graeme Smith

Calibration parameters in deterministic computer experiments are those attributes that cannot be measured or available in physical experiments. Kennedy and O'Hagan \cite{kennedy2001bayesian} suggested an approach to estimate them by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-31 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Many computer models contain unknown parameters which need to be estimated using physical observations. Kennedy and O'Hagan (2001) shows that the calibration method based on Gaussian process models proposed by Kennedy and O'Hagan (2001) may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-28 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

We introduce Lindblad-like quantum tomography (L$\ell$QT) as a quantum characterization technique of time-correlated noise in quantum information processors. This approach enables the estimation of time-local master equations, including…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-06-17 Santiago Varona , Markus Müller , Alejandro Bermudez

Calibrating stochastic radio channel models to new measurement data is challenging when the likelihood function is intractable. The standard approach to this problem involves sophisticated algorithms for extraction and clustering of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-07 Ayush Bharti , Francois-Xavier Briol , Troels Pedersen

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Selecting hyperparameters in deep learning greatly impacts its effectiveness but requires manual effort and expertise. Recent works show that Bayesian model selection with Laplace approximations can allow to optimize such hyperparameters…

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