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In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

Scaling laws are useful guides for derisking expensive training runs, as they predict performance of large models using cheaper, small-scale experiments. However, there remain gaps between current scaling studies and how language models are…

In the rapidly advancing field of materials informatics, nonlinear machine learning models have demonstrated exceptional predictive capabilities for material properties. However, their black-box nature limits interpretability, and they may…

材料科学 · 物理学 2026-04-24 Joohwi Lee , Kaito Miyamoto

Machine learning (ML) models show strong promise for new biomedical prediction tasks, but concerns about trustworthiness have hindered their clinical adoption. In particular, it is often unclear whether a model relies on true clinical cues…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Dushan N. Wadduwage , Dineth Jayakody , Leonidas Zimianitis

The number of large language models (LLMs) with varying parameter scales and vocabularies is increasing. While they deliver powerful performance, they also face a set of common optimization needs to meet specific requirements or standards,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-24 Jiayi Wu , Hao Sun , Hengyi Cai , Lixin Su , Shuaiqiang Wang , Dawei Yin , Xiang Li , Ming Gao

As educational systems evolve, ensuring that assessment items remain aligned with content standards is essential for maintaining fairness and instructional relevance. Traditional human alignment reviews are accurate but slow and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Farzan Karimi-Malekabadi , Pooya Razavi , Sonya Powers

In this paper the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for the assessment of machine learning models are investigated. The prediction quality of a machine learning model is evaluated model-independent based on a cross-validation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-07 Thomas Most , Lars Gräning , Sebastian Wolff

Statistical model checking delivers quantitative verification results with statistical guarantees by applying Monte Carlo simulation to formal models. It scales to model sizes and model types that are out of reach for exhaustive, analytical…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Pedro R. D'Argenio , Arnd Hartmanns , Patrick Wienhöft , Mark van Wijk

The surprising ability of Large Language Models (LLMs) to perform well on complex reasoning with only few-shot chain-of-thought prompts is believed to emerge only in very large-scale models (100+ billion parameters). We show that such…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Yao Fu , Hao Peng , Litu Ou , Ashish Sabharwal , Tushar Khot

Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

The increasing global prevalence of mental disorders, such as depression and PTSD, requires objective and scalable diagnostic tools. Traditional clinical assessments often face limitations in accessibility, objectivity, and consistency.…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-03 Abdelrahaman A. Hassan , Abdelrahman A. Ali , Aya E. Fouda , Radwa J. Hanafy , Mohammed E. Fouda

Structural estimation is an important methodology in empirical economics, and a large class of structural models are estimated through the generalized method of moments (GMM). Traditionally, selection of structural models has been performed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-07-19 Junpei Komiyama , Hajime Shimao

Training neural samplers directly from unnormalized densities without access to target distribution samples presents a significant challenge. A critical desideratum in these settings is achieving comprehensive mode coverage, ensuring the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Chenguang Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Kaiyuan Cui , Weichen Zhao , Yongtao Guan , Tianshu Yu

Recent work has shown that attention-based language models excel at recall, the ability to ground generations in tokens previously seen in context. However, the efficiency of attention-based models is bottle-necked during inference by the…

We study the problem of out-of-sample risk estimation in the high dimensional regime where both the sample size $n$ and number of features $p$ are large, and $n/p$ can be less than one. Extensive empirical evidence confirms the accuracy of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-05 Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Wenda Zhou , Arian Maleki

While existing benchmarks demonstrate the near-perfect performance of large language models (LLMs) on various tasks, this apparent saturation often obscures the need for rigorous evaluation of their reliability. In real-world deployment,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Eungyeup Kim , Chenchen Gu , Vashisth Tiwari , J. Zico Kolter

The composite likelihood (CL) is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) in the context of bivariate meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies. Its advantage is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-12 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Self-supervised sentence representation learning is the task of constructing an embedding space for sentences without relying on human annotation efforts. One straightforward approach is to finetune a pretrained language model (PLM) with a…

It is common for researchers to holdout data from a study pool to be used for external validation as well as for future research, and the same desire is true to those using machine learning modeling research. For this discussion, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-10 Michele Bennett , Mehdi Nekouei , Armand Prieditis Rajesh Mehta , Ewa Kleczyk , Karin Hayes

In NLP, text language models based on words or subwords are known to outperform their character-based counterparts. Yet, in the speech community, the standard input of spoken LMs are 20ms or 40ms-long discrete units (shorter than a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Robin Algayres , Yossi Adi , Tu Anh Nguyen , Jade Copet , Gabriel Synnaeve , Benoit Sagot , Emmanuel Dupoux