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Conformal prediction is a framework for predictive inference with a distribution-free, finite-sample guarantee. However, it tends to provide uninformative prediction sets when calibration data are scarce. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Meshi Bashari , Roy Maor Lotan , Yonghoon Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Yaniv Romano

Amortized simulation-based inference (SBI) methods train neural networks on simulated data to perform Bayesian inference. While this strategy avoids the need for tractable likelihoods, it often requires a large number of simulations and has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Manuel Gloeckler , Shoji Toyota , Kenji Fukumizu , Jakob H. Macke

We present a latent variable model for classification that provides a novel probabilistic interpretation of neural network softmax classifiers. We derive a variational objective to train the model, analogous to the evidence lower bound…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-10 Shehzaad Dhuliawala , Mrinmaya Sachan , Carl Allen

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

Diffusion models are typically trained using score matching, a learning objective agnostic to the underlying noising process that guides the model. This paper argues that Markov noising processes enjoy an advantage over alternatives, as the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Zheyang Shen , Huihui Wang , Marina Riabiz , Chris J. Oates

Accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial for making reliable decisions in various supervised learning scenarios, particularly when dealing with complex, multimodal data such as images and text. Current approaches often face notable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Xinyu Tian , Xiaotong Shen

Non-linear hierarchical models are commonly used in many disciplines. However, inference in the presence of non-nested effects and on large datasets is challenging and computationally burdensome. This paper provides two contributions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Max Goplerud

We propose a general framework for self-supervised learning of transferable visual representations based on Video-Induced Visual Invariances (VIVI). We consider the implicit hierarchy present in the videos and make use of (i) frame-level…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-04-03 Michael Tschannen , Josip Djolonga , Marvin Ritter , Aravindh Mahendran , Xiaohua Zhai , Neil Houlsby , Sylvain Gelly , Mario Lucic

We introduce a new variational inference (VI) framework, called energetic variational inference (EVI). It minimizes the VI objective function based on a prescribed energy-dissipation law. Using the EVI framework, we can derive many existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiwei Wang , Jiuhai Chen , Chun Liu , Lulu Kang

Approximating complex probability densities is a core problem in modern statistics. In this paper, we introduce the concept of Variational Inference (VI), a popular method in machine learning that uses optimization techniques to estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Ankush Ganguly , Samuel W. F. Earp

Two popular classes of methods for approximate inference are Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational inference. MCMC tends to be accurate if run for a long enough time, while variational inference tends to give better approximations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-21 Justin Domke

Support vector machines (SVMs) are well-studied supervised learning models for binary classification. In many applications, large amounts of samples can be cheaply and easily obtained. What is often a costly and error-prone process is to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-20 Veronica Piccialli , Jan Schwiddessen , Antonio M. Sudoso

When applying the support vector machine (SVM) to high-dimensional classification problems, we often impose a sparse structure in the SVM to eliminate the influences of the irrelevant predictors. The lasso and other variable selection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2008-02-22 Seongho Wu , Hui Zou , Ming Yuan

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

Current variational inference methods for hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models can neither characterize the correlation structure among latent variables due to the mean-field setting, nor infer the true posterior dimension because of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-07 Yirui Liu , Xinghao Qiao , Jessica Lam

Incomplete Multi-view Clustering (IMC) has emerged as a significant challenge in multi-view learning. A predominant line for IMC is data imputation; however, indiscriminate imputation can result in unreliable content. Recently, researchers…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Cai Xu , Jinlong Liu , Yilin Zhang , Ziyu Guan , Wei Zhao , Xiaofei He

Score matching provides an effective approach to learning flexible unnormalized models, but its scalability is limited by the need to evaluate a second-order derivative. In this paper, we present a scalable approximation to a general family…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Ziyu Wang , Shuyu Cheng , Yueru Li , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) has been widely applied in large scale Bayesian inference. However MFVI, which assumes a product distribution on the latent variables, often leads to objective functions with many local optima, making…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-03 Mingzhang Yin , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Purnamrita Sarkar

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

Approximate inference in high-dimensional, discrete probabilistic models is a central problem in computational statistics and machine learning. This paper describes discrete particle variational inference (DPVI), a new approach that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Ardavan Saeedi , Tejas D Kulkarni , Vikash Mansinghka , Samuel Gershman