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Machine learning methods for estimating treatment effect heterogeneity promise greater flexibility than existing methods that test a few pre-specified hypotheses. However, one problem these methods can have is that it can be challenging to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-05 Patrick Rehill

With the increasing adoption of predictive models trained using machine learning across a wide range of high-stakes applications, e.g., health care, security, criminal justice, finance, and education, there is a growing need for effective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Aria Khademi , Vasant Honavar

We introduce Matched Machine Learning, a framework that combines the flexibility of machine learning black boxes with the interpretability of matching, a longstanding tool in observational causal inference. Interpretability is paramount in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-05 Marco Morucci , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series is a central challenge in industrial monitoring, as failures frequently arise from complex temporal dynamics and cross-sensor interactions. While recent deep learning models, including graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Pooyan Khosravinia , João Gama , Bruno Veloso

Foundational modelling of multi-dimensional time-series data in industrial systems presents a central trade-off: channel-dependent (CD) models capture specific cross-variable dynamics but lack robustness and adaptability as model layers are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis

Adept traffic models are critical to both planning and closed-loop simulation for autonomous vehicles (AV), and key design objectives include accuracy, diverse multimodal behaviors, interpretability, and downstream compatibility. Recently,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Yuxiao Chen , Sander Tonkens , Marco Pavone

Causal models provide rich descriptions of complex systems as sets of mechanisms by which each variable is influenced by its direct causes. They support reasoning about manipulating parts of the system and thus hold promise for addressing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Julius von Kügelgen

Human trajectory forecasting in crowds, at its core, is a sequence prediction problem with specific challenges of capturing inter-sequence dependencies (social interactions) and consequently predicting socially-compliant multimodal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-10 Parth Kothari , Brian Sifringer , Alexandre Alahi

If model identifiability is not confirmed, inferences from infectious disease transmission models may not be reliable, so they might lead to misleading recommendations. Structural identifiability analysis characterizes whether it is…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-06-09 Emmanuelle A. Dankwa , Andrew F. Brouwer , Christl A. Donnelly

Conformal prediction has been explored as a general and efficient way to provide uncertainty quantification for time series. However, current methods struggle to handle time series data with change points - sudden shifts in the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Sophia Sun , Rose Yu

Recent advances in prototypical learning have shown remarkable potential to provide useful decision interpretations associating activation maps and predictions with class-specific training prototypes. Such prototypical learning has been…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-07 Chong Wang , Fengbei Liu , Yuanhong Chen , Helen Frazer , Gustavo Carneiro

Modern deep learning models excel at pattern recognition but remain fundamentally limited by their reliance on spurious correlations, leading to poor generalization and a demand for massive datasets. We argue that a key ingredient for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-17 Mohamed Zayaan S

Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

Many existing models for clinical trial outcome prediction are optimized using task-specific loss functions on trial phase-specific data. While this scheme may boost prediction for common diseases and drugs, it can hinder learning of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Yiqing Zhang , Xiaozhong Liu , Fabricio Murai

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction models are integral to a myriad of industrial settings, such as personalized search advertising. Current methods typically involve feature extraction from users' historical behavior sequences combined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-16 Lingwei Kong , Lu Wang , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Ching Law , Jingping Shao

Multiple sclerosis is a disease that affects the brain and spinal cord, it can lead to severe disability and has no known cure. The majority of prior work in machine learning for multiple sclerosis has been centered around using Magnetic…

The co-occurrence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC), or multimorbidity, in an individual can reduce their lifespan and severely impact their quality of life. Exploring the longitudinal patterns, e.g. clusters, of disease accrual can…

ChatGPT, as a recently launched large language model (LLM), has shown superior performance in various natural language processing (NLP) tasks. However, two major limitations hinder its potential applications: (1) the inflexibility of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Yucheng Shi , Hehuan Ma , Wenliang Zhong , Qiaoyu Tan , Gengchen Mai , Xiang Li , Tianming Liu , Junzhou Huang

A topic of great current interest is Causal Representation Learning (CRL), whose goal is to learn a causal model for hidden features in a data-driven manner. Unfortunately, CRL is severely ill-posed since it is a combination of the two…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-10 Hiroshi Morioka , Aapo Hyvärinen

Metabolic disorders, particularly type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), represent a significant global health burden, disproportionately impacting genetically predisposed populations such as the Pima Indians (a Native American tribe from south…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Iram Wajahat , Amritpal Singh , Fazel Keshtkar , Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari