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We present Speculative Rollout with Tree-Structured Cache (SRT), a simple, model-free approach to accelerate on-policy reinforcement learning (RL) for language models without sacrificing distributional correctness. SRT exploits the…

Modern empirical work in Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often employs local polynomial estimation and inference with a mean square error (MSE) optimal bandwidth choice. This bandwidth yields an MSE-optimal RD treatment effect…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-21 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

Spectral clustering has been one of the widely used methods for community detection in networks. However, large-scale networks bring computational challenges to the eigenvalue decomposition therein. In this paper, we study the spectral…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-01-07 Hai Zhang , Xiao Guo , Xiangyu Chang

Statistical models that include random effects are commonly used to analyze longitudinal and correlated data, often with strong and parametric assumptions about the random effects distribution. There is marked disagreement in the literature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-11 Charles E. McCulloch , John M. Neuhaus

Randomly censored survival data are frequently encountered in applied sciences including biomedical or reliability applications and clinical trial analyses. Testing the significance of statistical hypotheses is crucial in such analyses to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

Interference occurs when the treatment (or exposure) of one individual affects the outcomes of others. In some settings it may be reasonable to assume individuals can be partitioned into clusters such that there is no interference between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Lan Liu , Michael G. Hudgens , Bradley Saul , John D. Clemens , Mohammad Ali , Michael E. Emch

Many social and environmental phenomena are associated with macroscopic changes in the built environment, captured by satellite imagery on a global scale and with daily temporal resolution. While widely used for prediction, these images and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-25 Connor T. Jerzak , Ritwik Vashistha , Adel Daoud

Predictive models are often required to produce reliable predictions under statistical conditions that are not matched to the training data. A common type of training-testing mismatch is covariate shift, where the conditional distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Matteo Zecchin , Fredrik Hellström , Sangwoo Park , Shlomo Shamai , Osvaldo Simeone

Mixed effects (ME) models inform a vast array of problems in the physical and social sciences, and are pervasive in meta-analysis. We consider ME models where the random effects component is linear. We then develop an efficient approach for…

When fitting generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs), one important decision to make relates to the choice of the random effects distribution. As the random effects are unobserved, misspecification of this distribution is a real…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Quan Vu , Francis K. C. Hui , Samuel Muller , A. H. Welsh

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the accepted standard for treatment effect estimation but they can be infeasible due to ethical reasons and prohibitive costs. Single-arm trials, where all patients belong to the treatment group, can…

Causal mediation analysis in cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) is complicated by the presence of multiple mediators, intracluster correlation, and within-cluster interference. Existing mediation methods often fall short in accommodating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Jiaqi Tong , Chao Cheng , Fan Li

In semivarying coefficient models for longitudinal/clustered data, usually of primary interest is usually the parametric component which involves unknown constant coefficients. First, we study semiparametric efficiency bound for estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-15 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jialiang Li

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is important to tailor treatments to those individuals who would most likely benefit. However, conditional average treatment effect predictors may often be trained on one population but possibly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christoph Kern , Michael Kim , Angela Zhou

Experimenters often collect baseline data to study heterogeneity. I propose the first valid confidence intervals for the VCATE, the treatment effect variance explained by observables. Conventional approaches yield incorrect coverage when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-07 Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra

This note introduces a doubly robust (DR) estimator for regression discontinuity (RD) designs. RD designs provide a quasi-experimental framework for estimating treatment effects, where treatment assignment depends on whether a running…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-28 Masahiro Kato

Dynamic assessment of mortality risk in the intensive care unit (ICU) can be used to stratify patients, inform about treatment effectiveness or serve as part of an early-warning system. Static risk scoring systems, such as APACHE or SAPS,…

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Peter Z. Schochet

This paper motivates and develops a novel and focused approach to variable selection in linear regression models. For estimating the regression mean $\mu=\E\,(Y\midd x_0)$, for the covariate vector of a given individual, there is a list of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Nils Lid Hjort

The mixture cure rate model is the most commonly used cure rate model in the literature. In the context of mixture cure rate model, the standard approach to model the effect of covariates on the cured or uncured probability is to use a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-23 Suvra Pal , Yingwei Peng , Sandip Barui , Pei Wang
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