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Deployed machine learning (ML) models often encounter new user data that differs from their training data. Therefore, estimating how well a given model might perform on the new data is an important step toward reliable ML applications. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Lingjiao Chen , Matei Zaharia , James Zou

When a source-trained model $Q$ is replaced by a model $\tilde{Q}$ trained on shifted data, its performance on the source domain can change unpredictably. To address this, we study the two-model risk change, $\Delta R := R_P(\tilde{Q}) -…

Out-of-Distribution (OOD) detection is essential for the trustworthiness of AI systems. Methods using prior information (i.e., subspace-based methods) have shown effective performance by extracting information geometry to detect OOD data…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Kaiyu Guo , Zijian Wang , Tan Pan , Brian C. Lovell , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh

Covariate-shift generalization, a typical case in out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, requires a good performance on the unknown test distribution, which varies from the accessible training distribution in the form of covariate shift.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Renzhe Xu , Xingxuan Zhang , Zheyan Shen , Tong Zhang , Peng Cui

In distributed systems, communication is a major concern due to issues such as its vulnerability or efficiency. In this paper, we are interested in estimating sparse inverse covariance matrices when samples are distributed into different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-04 Jesús Arroyo , Elizabeth Hou

Moving beyond testing on in-distribution data works on Out-of-Distribution (OOD) detection have recently increased in popularity. A recent attempt to categorize OOD data introduces the concept of near and far OOD detection. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Junjiao Tian , Yen-Change Hsu , Yilin Shen , Hongxia Jin , Zsolt Kira

While previous distribution shift detection approaches can identify if a shift has occurred, these approaches cannot localize which specific features have caused a distribution shift -- a critical step in diagnosing or fixing any underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Sean Kulinski , Saurabh Bagchi , David I. Inouye

In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

Estimating the test performance of a model, possibly under distribution shift, without having access to the ground-truth labels is a challenging, yet very important problem for the safe deployment of machine learning algorithms in the wild.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Renchunzi Xie , Ambroise Odonnat , Vasilii Feofanov , Ievgen Redko , Jianfeng Zhang , Bo An

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

For reliable deployment of deep-learning systems, out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is indispensable. In the real world, where test-time inputs often arrive as streaming mixtures of in-distribution (ID) and OOD samples under evolving…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Wooseok Lee , Jin Mo Yang , Saewoong Bahk , Hyung-Sin Kim

Estimating how well a machine learning model performs during inference is critical in a variety of scenarios (for example, to quantify uncertainty, or to choose from a library of available models). However, the standard accuracy estimate of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-07 Xuechen Zhang , Samet Oymak , Jiasi Chen

This paper considers a remote state estimation problem with multiple sensors observing a dynamical process, where sensors transmit local state estimates over an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) packet dropping channel to a…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-08-04 Alex S. Leong , Subhrakanti Dey , Daniel E. Quevedo

Since the establishment of vision-language foundation models as the new mainstay in low-shot vision classification tasks, the question of domain generalization arising from insufficient target data is assuming more importance. This scarcity…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Behraj Khan , Rizwan Qureshi , Nouman Muhammad Durrani , Tahir Syed

While recent computer vision algorithms achieve impressive performance on many benchmarks, they lack robustness - presented with an image from a different distribution, (e.g. weather or lighting conditions not considered during training),…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Sebastian Cygert , Bartłomiej Wróblewski , Karol Woźniak , Radosław Słowiński , Andrzej Czyżewski

Probabilistic classification of unassociated Fermi-LAT sources using machine learning methods has an implicit assumption that the distributions of associated and unassociated sources are the same as a function of source parameters, which is…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2024-01-04 Dmitry V. Malyshev

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

We study the problem of class distribution estimation under dataset shift. On the training dataset, both features and class labels are observed while on the test dataset only the features can be observed. The task then is the estimation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Dirk Tasche

A common goal in observational research is to estimate marginal causal effects in the presence of confounding variables. One solution to this problem is to use the covariate distribution to weight the outcomes such that the data appear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-18 Kevin P. Josey , Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

Machine learning models frequently experience performance drops under distribution shifts. The underlying cause of such shifts may be multiple simultaneous factors such as changes in data quality, differences in specific covariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-07 Haoran Zhang , Harvineet Singh , Marzyeh Ghassemi , Shalmali Joshi