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Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-22 Zhi Chen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

The space of value functions is a fundamental concept in reinforcement learning. Characterizing its geometric properties may provide insights for optimization and representation. Existing works mainly focus on the value space for Markov…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Kaixin Wang , Navdeep Kumar , Kuangqi Zhou , Bryan Hooi , Jiashi Feng , Shie Mannor

We introduce a general framework for Markov decision problems under model uncertainty in a discrete-time infinite horizon setting. By providing a dynamic programming principle we obtain a local-to-global paradigm, namely solving a local,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester , Mario Šikić

This paper discusses a class of combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain costs in the objective function. It is assumed that a sample of the cost realizations is available, which defines an empirical probability distribution for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-21 Marcel Jackiewicz , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

This paper expands the notion of robust profit opportunities in financial markets to incorporate distributional uncertainty using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. Financial markets with risky and risk-free assets are…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-06-23 Derek Singh , Shuzhong Zhang

We consider decision-making problems involving the optimization of linear objective functions with uncertain coefficients. The probability distribution of the coefficients--which are assumed to be stochastic in nature--is unknown to the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-23 Eilyan Bitar

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely…

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

We establish sharp upper and lower bounds for distortion risk metrics under distributional uncertainty. The uncertainty sets are characterized by four key features of the underlying distribution: mean, variance, unimodality, and Wasserstein…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-11-13 Peng Liu , Steven Vanduffel , Yi Xia

This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to logistic regression. We use the Wasserstein distance to construct a ball in the space of probability distributions centered at the uniform distribution on the training samples. If…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-12-02 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

We study data-driven decision problems where historical observations are generated by a time-evolving distribution whose consecutive shifts are bounded in Wasserstein distance. We address this nonstationarity using a distributionally robust…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-25 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Edward J. Anderson , Wolfram Wiesemann

Performativity means that the deployment of a predictive model incentivizes agents to strategically adapt their behavior, thereby inducing a model-dependent distribution shift. Practitioners often repeatedly retrain the model on data…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-09 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl H. Johansson

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

In this paper, by proposing two new kinds of distributional uncertainty sets, we explore robustness of distortion risk measures against distributional uncertainty. To be precise, we first consider a distributional uncertainty set which is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-15 Xiangyu Han , Yijun Hu , Ran Wang , Linxiao Wei

We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with uncertainty sets consisting of high-dimensional random vectors that are close in the multivariate Wasserstein distance to a reference random vector. We give conditions when…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-30 Brandon Tam , Silvana M. Pesenti

We study notions of robustness of Markov kernels and probability distribution of a system that is described by $n$ input random variables and one output random variable. Markov kernels can be expanded in a series of potentials that allow to…

交换代数 · 数学 2011-10-07 Johannes Rauh , Nihat Ay

This paper proposes normative criteria for voting rules under uncertainty about individual preferences. The criteria emphasize the importance of responsiveness, i.e., the probability that the social outcome coincides with the realized…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-31 Satoshi Nakada , Shmuel Nitzan , Takashi Ui

We investigate a stochastic program with expected value constraints, addressing the problem in a general context through Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach using Wasserstein distances, where the ambiguity set depends on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-18 Diego Fonseca , Mauricio Junca

This paper studies distributional model risk in marginal problems, where each marginal measure is assumed to lie in a Wasserstein ball centered at a fixed reference measure with a given radius. Theoretically, we establish several…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-04 Yanqin Fan , Hyeonseok Park , Gaoqian Xu