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We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

A particularly challenging problem in AI safety is providing guarantees on the behavior of high-dimensional autonomous systems. Verification approaches centered around reachability analysis fail to scale, and purely statistical approaches…

We introduce the Probabilistic Generative Adversarial Network (PGAN), a new GAN variant based on a new kind of objective function. The central idea is to integrate a probabilistic model (a Gaussian Mixture Model, in our case) into the GAN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-08 Hamid Eghbal-zadeh , Gerhard Widmer

Explaining the behavior of black box machine learning models through human interpretable rules is an important research area. Recent work has focused on explaining model behavior locally i.e. for specific predictions as well as globally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-17 Sukriti Verma , Nikaash Puri , Piyush Gupta , Balaji Krishnamurthy

We propose a probabilistic enhancement of standard kernel Support Vector Machines for binary classification, in order to address the case when, along with given data sets, a description of uncertainty (e.g., error bounds) may be available…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-19 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Allen R. Tannenbaum

Recently, the introduction of the generative adversarial network (GAN) and its variants has enabled the generation of realistic synthetic samples, which has been used for enlarging training sets. Previous work primarily focused on data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-27 Swee Kiat Lim , Yi Loo , Ngoc-Trung Tran , Ngai-Man Cheung , Gemma Roig , Yuval Elovici

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian probabilistic latent variable model for multi-view anomaly detection, which is the task of finding instances that have inconsistent views. With the proposed model, all views of a non-anomalous instance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Makoto Yamada

Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

We initiate the study of proper losses for evaluating generative models in the discrete setting. Unlike traditional proper losses, we treat both the generative model and the target distribution as black-boxes, only assuming ability to draw…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Rafael Frongillo , Dhamma Kimpara , Bo Waggoner

Feature attribution methods explain black-box machine learning (ML) models by assigning importance scores to input features. These methods can be computationally expensive for large ML models. To address this challenge, there has been…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-05-31 Lucas Monteiro Paes , Dennis Wei , Flavio P. Calmon

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

Interpretable machine learning offers insights into what factors drive a certain prediction of a black-box system. A large number of interpreting methods focus on identifying explanatory input features, which generally fall into two main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Vy Vo , Van Nguyen , Trung Le , Quan Hung Tran , Gholamreza Haffari , Seyit Camtepe , Dinh Phung

When the performance of a machine learning model varies over groups defined by sensitive attributes (e.g., gender or ethnicity), the performance disparity can be expressed in terms of the probability distributions of the input and output…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-20 Hao Wang , Berk Ustun , Flavio P. Calmon

The problem of attribution is concerned with identifying the parts of an input that are responsible for a model's output. An important family of attribution methods is based on measuring the effect of perturbations applied to the input. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-10-21 Ruth Fong , Mandela Patrick , Andrea Vedaldi

Previous transfer methods for anomaly detection generally assume the availability of labeled data in source or target domains. However, such an assumption is not valid in most real applications where large-scale labeled data are too…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Cangning Fan , Fangyi Zhang , Peng Liu , Xiuyu Sun , Hao Li , Ting Xiao , Wei Zhao , Xianglong Tang

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

We introduce a novel uncertainty estimation for classification tasks for Bayesian convolutional neural networks with variational inference. By normalizing the output of a Softplus function in the final layer, we estimate aleatoric and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-15 Kumar Shridhar , Felix Laumann , Marcus Liwicki

In order to introduce deep learning technologies into anomaly detection, Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are considered as important roles in the algorithm design and realistic applications. In terms of GANs, event probability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Rui She , Pingyi Fan

Unnormalized (or energy-based) models provide a flexible framework for capturing the characteristics of data with complex dependency structures. However, the application of standard Bayesian inference methods has been severely limited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Naruki Sonobe , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daichi Mochihashi , Takeru Matsuda

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier