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Online A/B testing, the gold standard for evaluating new advertising policies, consumes substantial engineering resources and risks significant revenue loss from deploying underperforming variations. This motivates the use of Off-Policy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Hongseon Yeom , Jaeyoul Shin , Soojin Min , Jeongmin Yoon , Seunghak Yu , Dongyeop Kang

This paper discusses difference-in-differences (DID) estimation when there exist many control variables, potentially more than the sample size. In this case, traditional estimation methods, which require a limited number of variables, do…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-09 Neng-Chieh Chang

The Doubly Robust (DR) estimation of ATE can be carried out in 2 steps, where in the first step, the treatment and outcome are modeled, and in the second step the predictions are inserted into the DR estimator. The model misspecification in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-03 Mehdi Rostami , Olli Saarela , Michael Escobar

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and invariant risk minimization (IRM) are two popular methods proposed to improve out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization performance of machine learning models. While effective for small models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-25 Xiao Zhou , Yong Lin , Renjie Pi , Weizhong Zhang , Renzhe Xu , Peng Cui , Tong Zhang

This paper addresses objectives tailored to the risk-averse optimization of accumulated rewards in Markov decision processes (MDPs). The studied objectives require maximizing the expected value of the accumulated rewards minus a penalty…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-07-10 Christel Baier , Jakob Piribauer , Maximilian Starke

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Yinxiang Wu , Hyunseung Kang , Ting Ye

Partial observability and uncertainty are common problems in sequential decision-making that particularly impede the use of formal models such as Markov decision processes (MDPs). However, in practice, agents may be able to employ costly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Merlijn Krale , Thiago D. Simão , Jana Tumova , Nils Jansen

Mixture policies theoretically offer greater flexibility than unimodal policies in continuous action reinforcement learning, but the practical benefits of this complexity remain elusive. Mixture policies are notably absent from most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Jiamin He , Samuel Neumann , Jincheng Mei , Adam White , Martha White

We study off-policy evaluation (OPE) of contextual bandit policies for large discrete action spaces where conventional importance-weighting approaches suffer from excessive variance. To circumvent this variance issue, we propose a new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-12 Yuta Saito , Qingyang Ren , Thorsten Joachims

The off-policy learning paradigm allows for recommender systems and general ranking applications to be framed as decision-making problems, where we aim to learn decision policies that optimize an unbiased offline estimate of an online…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-15 Shashank Gupta , Olivier Jeunen , Harrie Oosterhuis , Maarten de Rijke

In the causal inference literature an estimator belonging to a class of semi-parametric estimators is called robust if it has desirable properties under the assumption that at least one of the working models is correctly specified. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-26 Ingeborg Waernbaum , Laura Pazzagli

To address the needs of modeling uncertainty in sensitive machine learning applications, the setup of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) seeks good performance uniformly across a variety of tasks. The recent multi-distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Rafael Hanashiro , Patrick Jaillet

We study the problem of off-policy policy evaluation (OPPE) in RL. In contrast to prior work, we consider how to estimate both the individual policy value and average policy value accurately. We draw inspiration from recent work in causal…

When data are collected adaptively, such as in bandit algorithms, classical statistical approaches such as ordinary least squares and $M$-estimation will often fail to achieve asymptotic normality. Although recent lines of work have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 James Leiner , Robin Dunn , Aaditya Ramdas

Aligning Large Language Models (LLMs) with human preferences is crucial, but standard methods like Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) are often complex and unstable. In this work, we propose a new, simpler approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Saeed Najafi , Alona Fyshe

This study addresses the problem of off-policy evaluation (OPE) from dependent samples obtained via the bandit algorithm. The goal of OPE is to evaluate a new policy using historical data obtained from behavior policies generated by the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-15 Masahiro Kato

When outcomes are missing for reasons beyond an investigator's control, there are two different ways to adjust a parameter estimate for covariates that may be related both to the outcome and to missingness. One approach is to model the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Joseph D. Y. Kang , Joseph L. Schafer

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) aims to learn a near-optimal policy from a fixed dataset of transitions collected by another policy. This problem has attracted a lot of attention recently, but most existing methods with strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Germano Gabbianelli , Gergely Neu , Nneka Okolo , Matteo Papini

Off-policy learning exhibits greater instability when compared to on-policy learning in reinforcement learning (RL). The difference in probability distribution between the target policy ($\pi$) and the behavior policy (b) is a major cause…

In constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) with adversarial rewards and constraints, a well-known impossibility result prevents any algorithm from attaining both sublinear regret and sublinear constraint violation, when competing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Francesco Emanuele Stradi , Anna Lunghi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti