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The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

We introduce a novel interpretable tree based algorithm for prediction in a regression setting. Our motivation is to estimate the unknown regression function from a functional decomposition perspective in which the functional components…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-04 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

In this paper we present the practical benefits of a new random forest algorithm to deal withmissing values in the sample. The purpose of this work is to compare the different solutionsto deal with missing values with random forests and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-19 Irving Gómez-Méndez , Emilien Joly

Random forest is a classification algorithm well suited for microarray data: it shows excellent performance even when most predictive variables are noise, can be used when the number of variables is much larger than the number of…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Ramon Diaz-Uriarte , Sara Alvarez de Andres

Variable selection in sparse regression models is an important task as applications ranging from biomedical research to econometrics have shown. Especially for higher dimensional regression problems, for which the link function between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

In many cases, feature selection is often more complicated than identifying a single subset of input variables that would together explain the output. There may be interactions that depend on contextual information, i.e., variables that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-13 Antonio Sutera , Gilles Louppe , Vân Anh Huynh-Thu , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

Decision-making plays a pivotal role in shaping outcomes in various disciplines, such as medicine, economics, and business. This paper provides guidance to practitioners on how to implement a decision tree designed to address treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-05 Hugo Bodory , Federica Mascolo , Michael Lechner

Model interpretation is one of the key aspects of the model evaluation process. The explanation of the relationship between model variables and outputs is relatively easy for statistical models, such as linear regressions, thanks to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-12-05 Anna Palczewska , Jan Palczewski , Richard Marchese Robinson , Daniel Neagu

This paper introduces an innovative Bayesian machine learning algorithm to draw interpretable inference on heterogeneous causal effects in the presence of imperfect compliance (e.g., under an irregular assignment mechanism). We show,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Kristof De-Witte , Giorgio Gnecco

Despite widespread interest and practical use, the theoretical properties of random forests are still not well understood. In this paper we contribute to this understanding in two ways. We present a new theoretically tractable variant of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-10-08 Misha Denil , David Matheson , Nando de Freitas

There is an increasing interest in estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in randomized and observational studies. However, little research has been conducted to understand heterogeneity in an instrumental variables study. In this work,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-20 Michael Johnson , Jiongyi Cao , Hyunseung Kang

The issue of estimating residual variance in regression models has experienced relatively little attention in the machine learning community. However, the estimate is of primary interest in many practical applications, e.g. as a primary…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-18 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In the causal adjustment setting, variable selection techniques based on either the outcome or treatment allocation model can result in the omission of confounders or the inclusion of spurious variables in the propensity score. We propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David A. Stephens

We propose Causal Interaction Trees for identifying subgroups of participants that have enhanced treatment effects using observational data. We extend the Classification and Regression Tree algorithm by using splitting criteria that focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Jiabei Yang , Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Feature selection with high-dimensional data and a very small proportion of relevant features poses a severe challenge to standard statistical methods. We have developed a new approach (HARVEST) that is straightforward to apply, albeit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-01 Herbert Weisberg , Victor Pontes , Mathis Thoma

In prediction tasks with multi-class outcomes, identifying covariates specifically associated with one or more outcome classes can be important. Conventional variable importance measures (VIMs) from random forests (RFs), like permutation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Roman Hornung , Alexander Hapfelmeier

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

Causal effect estimation aims at estimating the Average Treatment Effect as well as the Conditional Average Treatment Effect of a treatment to an outcome from the available data. This knowledge is important in many safety-critical domains,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Ioannis E. Livieris , Christos Diou