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Unlabeled data are increasingly prevalent in contemporary economic studies, yet their effective use for improving prediction remains challenging because the outcomes are often costly or even infeasible to observe. Machine learning methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Fuzhi Xu , Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang

Recently, fitting probabilistic models have gained importance in many areas but estimation of such distributional models with very large data sets is a difficult task. In particular, the use of rather complex models can easily lead to…

We present a new procedure for enhanced variable selection for component-wise gradient boosting. Statistical boosting is a computational approach that emerged from machine learning, which allows to fit regression models in the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-04 Annika Strömer , Christian Staerk , Nadja Klein , Leonie Weinhold , Stephanie Titze , Andreas Mayr

Electric city bus gains popularity in recent years for its low greenhouse gas emission, low noise level, etc. Different from a passenger car, the weight of a city bus varies significantly with different amounts of onboard passengers. After…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-08 Junzhe Shi , Bin Xu , Xingyu Zhou , Jun Hou

Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price sometimes increases predicted demand, and implied willingness-to-pay…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Yingshuo Wang , Xian Sun , Yanhang Li , Zhichao Fan , Zexin Zhuang

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Automated vehicles operating in urban environments have to reliably interact with other traffic participants. Planning algorithms often utilize separate prediction modules forecasting probabilistic, multi-modal, and interactive behaviors of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Sascha Rosbach , Stefan M. Leupold , Simon Großjohann , Stefan Roth

Over the past decade, random forest models have become widely used as a robust method for high-dimensional data regression tasks. In part, the popularity of these models arises from the fact that they require little hyperparameter tuning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-18 Shipra Malhotra , John Karanicolas

Credit scoring is vital in the financial industry, assessing the risk of lending to credit card applicants. Traditional credit scoring methods face challenges with large datasets and data imbalance between creditworthy and non-creditworthy…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Kejian Tong , Zonglin Han , Yanxin Shen , Yujian Long , Yijing Wei

Accurate travel products price forecasting is a highly desired feature that allows customers to take informed decisions about purchases, and companies to build and offer attractive tour packages. Thanks to machine learning (ML), it is now…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-10 Rosa Candela , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone , Maria A. Zuluaga

With the rapid development of machine learning, autonomous driving has become a hot issue, making urgent demands for more intelligent perception and planning systems. Self-driving cars can avoid traffic crashes with precisely predicted…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-11-01 Jianbang Liu , Xinyu Mao , Yuqi Fang , Delong Zhu , Max Q. -H. Meng

This paper proposes a model to estimate the probability of a vehicle reaching a near-term goal state using one or multiple lane changes based on parameters corresponding to traffic conditions and driving behavior. The proposed model not…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Goodarz Mehr , Azim Eskandarian

For many machine learning algorithms, predictive performance is critically affected by the hyperparameter values used to train them. However, tuning these hyperparameters can come at a high computational cost, especially on larger datasets,…

Agricultural price prediction is crucial for farmers, policymakers, and other stakeholders in the agricultural sector. However, it is a challenging task due to the complex and dynamic nature of agricultural markets. Machine learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Nhat-Quang Tran , Anna Felipe , Thanh Nguyen Ngoc , Tom Huynh , Quang Tran , Arthur Tang , Thuy Nguyen

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Boosted trees is a dominant ML model, exhibiting high accuracy. However, boosted trees are hardly intelligible, and this is a problem whenever they are used in safety-critical applications. Indeed, in such a context, rigorous explanations…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-19 Gilles Audemard , Jean-Marie Lagniez , Pierre Marquis , Nicolas Szczepanski

The uncertainties in future Bitcoin price make it difficult to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin. Accurately predicting the price for Bitcoin is therefore important for decision-making process of investors and market players in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-04 Samuel Asante Gyamerah

Fair classification has become an important topic in machine learning research. While most bias mitigation strategies focus on neural networks, we noticed a lack of work on fair classifiers based on decision trees even though they have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Vincent Grari , Boris Ruf , Sylvain Lamprier , Marcin Detyniecki

Auxiliary information can increase the efficiency of survey estimators through an assisting model when the model captures some of the relationship between the auxiliary data and the study variables. Despite their superior properties,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Kelly S. McConville , Daniell Toth