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Factorial experiments are ubiquitous in the social and biomedical sciences, but when units fail to comply with each assigned factors, identification and estimation of the average treatment effects become impossible without strong…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Matthew Blackwell , Nicole E. Pashley

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Given a dataset of individuals each described by a covariate vector, a treatment, and an observed outcome on the treatment, the goal of the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation task is to predict outcome changes resulting from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Lokesh Nagalapatti , Pranava Singhal , Avishek Ghosh , Sunita Sarawagi

We propose a matching method that recovers direct treatment effects from randomized experiments where units are connected in an observed network, and units that share edges can potentially influence each others' outcomes. Traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-12 M. Usaid Awan , Marco Morucci , Vittorio Orlandi , Sudeepa Roy , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

When the Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption is violated and there is interference among units, there is not a uniquely defined Average Treatment Effect, and alternative estimands may be of interest. Among these are average unit-level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Molly Offer-Westort , Drew Dimmery

We consider estimation and inference on average treatment effects under unconfoundedness conditional on the realizations of the treatment variable and covariates. Given nonparametric smoothness and/or shape restrictions on the conditional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Researchers are increasingly turning to machine learning (ML) algorithms to investigate causal heterogeneity in randomized experiments. Despite their promise, ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Eliminating the effect of confounding in observational studies typically involves fitting a model for an outcome adjusted for covariates. When, as often, these covariates are high-dimensional, this necessitates the use of sparse estimators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt

This paper introduces an overidentification test of two alternative assumptions to identify the average treatment effect on the treated in a two-period panel data setting: unconfoundedness and common trends. Under the unconfoundedness…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-25 Martin Huber , Eva-Maria Oeß

Estimating how much an intervention helps a given individual the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is increasingly central to decision-making in medicine, economics, and policy, where an estimate is most useful when accompanied by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Eichi Uehara

Typically, a randomized experiment is designed to test a hypothesis about the average treatment effect and sometimes hypotheses about treatment effect variation. The results of such a study may then be used to inform policy and practice for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Elizabeth Tipton , Michalis Mamakos

Double blind randomized controlled trials are traditionally seen as the gold standard for causal inferences as the difference-in-means estimator is an unbiased estimator of the average treatment effect in the experiment. The fact that this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Per Johansson , Mattias Nordin

In this paper, we develop a multiply robust inference procedure of the average treatment effect (ATE) for data with high-dimensional covariates. We consider the case where it is difficult to correctly specify a single parametric model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Xintao Xia , Yumou Qiu

In most nonrandomized observational studies, differences between treatment groups may arise not only due to the treatment but also because of the effect of confounders. Therefore, causal inference regarding the treatment effect is not as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-04 Debashis Ghosh

In this paper, we study the estimation and inference of the quantile treatment effect under covariate-adaptive randomization. We propose two estimation methods: (1) the simple quantile regression and (2) the inverse propensity score…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Yichong Zhang , Xin Zheng

In this paper, we propose a data-adaptive empirical likelihood-based approach for treatment effect estimation and inference, which overcomes the obstacle of the traditional empirical likelihood-based approaches in the high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Wei Liang , Ying Yan

Causal inference in a program evaluation setting faces the problem of external validity when the treatment effect in the target population is different from the treatment effect identified from the population of which the sample is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Kyungchul Song , Zhengfei Yu

This paper investigates the finite sample performance of a range of parametric, semi-parametric, and non-parametric instrumental variable estimators when controlling for a fixed set of covariates to evaluate the local average treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-15 Hugo Bodory , Martin Huber , Michael Lechner