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In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data. We propose SpectraNet, a novel multivariate time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Cristian Challu , Peihong Jiang , Ying Nian Wu , Laurent Callot

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

The challenge of effectively learning inter-series correlations for multivariate time series forecasting remains a substantial and unresolved problem. Traditional deep learning models, which are largely dependent on the Transformer paradigm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Wanlin Cai , Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Xiaoxu Chen , Yuankai Wu

Conventional time series classification approaches based on bags of patterns or shapelets face significant challenges in dealing with a vast amount of feature candidates from high-dimensional multivariate data. In contrast, deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-07 Raneen Younis , Abdul Hakmeh , Zahra Ahmadi

The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-07-24 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Enrico Maiorino , Michael C. Kampffmeyer , Antonello Rizzi , Robert Jenssen

Recent studies have attempted to refine the Transformer architecture to demonstrate its effectiveness in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks. Despite surpassing many linear forecasting models with ever-improving performance, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Peiwang Tang , Weitai Zhang

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

Local temporal patterns in real-world time series continuously shift, rendering globally shared transformations suboptimal. Current deep forecasting models, despite their scale and complexity, rely on fixed weight matrices applied uniformly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Siru Zhong , Zhao Meng , Haohuan Fu , Haoyang Li , Qingsong Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Yining Pang , Chenghan Li

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Accurate time series forecasting is a fundamental challenge in data science. It is often affected by external covariates such as weather or human intervention, which in many applications, may be predicted with reasonable accuracy. We refer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Jimeng Shi , Rukmangadh Myana , Vitalii Stebliankin , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

Deep learning methods have been exerting their strengths in long-term time series forecasting. However, they often struggle to strike a balance between expressive power and computational efficiency. Resorting to multi-layer perceptrons…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Nannan Bian , Minhong Zhu , Li Chen , Weiran Cai

Pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) encapsulate large amounts of knowledge and take enormous amounts of compute to train. We make use of this resource, together with the observation that LLMs are able to transfer knowledge and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Malcolm L. Wolff , Shenghao Yang , Kari Torkkola , Michael W. Mahoney

We present a method for conditional time series forecasting based on an adaptation of the recent deep convolutional WaveNet architecture. The proposed network contains stacks of dilated convolutions that allow it to access a broad range of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Anastasia Borovykh , Sander Bohte , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Temporal networks have gained significant prominence in the past decade for modelling dynamic interactions within complex systems. A key challenge in this domain is Temporal Link Prediction (TLP), which aims to forecast future connections…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Jiafeng Xiong , Ahmad Zareie , Rizos Sakellariou