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The average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in a staggered-adoption panel is estimated using an intercept-augmented synthetic-control (SCM) estimator. A weighted parallel trends plus an intercept shift, together with mild regularity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Michael Guggisberg

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

When a source-trained model $Q$ is replaced by a model $\tilde{Q}$ trained on shifted data, its performance on the source domain can change unpredictably. To address this, we study the two-model risk change, $\Delta R := R_P(\tilde{Q}) -…

In large-scale distributed machine learning, recent works have studied the effects of compressing gradients in stochastic optimization to alleviate the communication bottleneck. These works have collectively revealed that stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Aritra Mitra , George J. Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Recently, there has been a surge in methodological development for the difference-in-differences (DiD) approach to evaluate causal effects. Standard methods in the literature rely on the parallel trends assumption to identify the average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Pan Zhao , Yifan Cui

The temporal difference (TD) error was first formalized in Sutton (1988), where it was first characterized as the difference between temporally successive predictions, and later, in that same work, formulated as the difference between a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Juan Sebastian Rojas , Chi-Guhn Lee

Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) provide a systematic framework for optimizing sequential decision-making in chronic disease management, where therapies must adapt to patients' evolving clinical profiles. Inverse probability weighting (IPW)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Chloe Si , David A. Stephens , Erica E. M. Moodie

Difference-in-differences (DID) approaches are widely used for estimating causal effects with observational data before and after an intervention. DID traditionally estimates the average treatment effect among the treated after making a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Julia C. Thome , Andrew J. Spieker , Peter F. Rebeiro , Chun Li , Tong Li , Bryan E. Shepherd

Proximal causal learning is a promising framework for identifying the causal effect under the existence of unmeasured confounders. Within this framework, the doubly robust (DR) estimator was derived and has shown its effectiveness in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Yong Wu , Yanwei Fu , Shouyan Wang , Xinwei Sun

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design which emulates a randomised study by exploiting situations where treatment is assigned according to a continuous variable as is common in many drug treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-28 Sara Geneletti , Federico Ricciardi , Aidan O'Keeffe , Gianluca Baio

Unmeasured confounding presents a common challenge in observational studies, potentially making standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Given the increasing availability of diverse data sources, exploiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Shanshan Luo , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li

In recommender systems, users always choose the favorite items to rate, which leads to data missing not at random and poses a great challenge for unbiased evaluation and learning of prediction models. Currently, the doubly robust (DR)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-25 Haoxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

We consider treatment-effect estimation with a two-periods panel, where units are untreated at period one, and receive strictly positive doses at period two. First, we consider designs with some quasi-untreated units, with a period-two dose…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-02 Clément de Chaisemartin , Diego Ciccia , Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Felix Knau

In Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, self-selection leads to different distributions of covariates on two sides of the policy intervention, which essentially violates the continuity of potential outcome assumption. The standard RD…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Sida Peng , Yang Ning

Treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) are often estimated using local regression methods. \cite{Hahn:01} demonstrated that the identification of the average treatment effect at the cutoff in RDDs relies on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-30 Weiwei Jiang , Rong J. B. Zhu

We study estimation of the local average treatment effect on the treated ($LATT$) in instrumented difference-in-differences (IDiD) designs with covariates and staggered instrument exposure. We derive the efficient influence function (EIF)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-06 Jonas Skjold Raaschou-Pedersen

This paper formalizes the identification framework underlying common child penalty triple difference estimators that normalize by counterfactual earnings. I reverse-engineer the identification assumptions from the validation tests used in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-27 Dor Leventer

Double Machine Learning is widely used to estimate causal treatment effects in large-scale observational data. The ``residuals-on-residuals'' regression estimator (RORR) is especially popular for its simplicity and computational…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Apoorva Lal , Winston Chou

This paper studies covariate adjusted estimation of the average treatment effect in stratified experiments. We work in a general framework that includes matched tuples designs, coarse stratification, and complete randomization as special…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-23 Max Cytrynbaum

We introduce the Strategic Doubly Robust (SDR) estimator, a novel framework that integrates strategic equilibrium modeling with doubly robust estimation for causal inference in strategic environments. SDR addresses endogenous treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Sibo Xiao