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Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

Modern deep neural networks are well known to be brittle in the face of unknown data instances and recognition of the latter remains a challenge. Although it is inevitable for continual-learning systems to encounter such unseen concepts,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Martin Mundt , Iuliia Pliushch , Sagnik Majumder , Yongwon Hong , Visvanathan Ramesh

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona

Fast machine learning-based surrogate models are trained to emulate slow, high-fidelity engineering simulation models to accelerate engineering design tasks. This introduces uncertainty as the surrogate is only an approximation of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-08 Paul Westermann , Ralph Evins

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a nonparametric supervised learning method, widely valued for its ability to quantify uncertainty. Despite its advantages and broad applications, classical GPR implementations face significant…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-03-25 Junpeng Hu , Jinglai Li , Lei Zhang , Shi Jin

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for uncertainty-aware function approximation and sequential decision-making. Unfortunately, their classical formulation does not scale gracefully to large amounts of data and modern hardware for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Jihao Andreas Lin

A continuing challenge for machine learning is providing methods to perform computation on data while ensuring the data remains private. In this paper we build on the provable privacy guarantees of differential privacy which has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-23 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

Modelling robot dynamics accurately is essential for control, motion optimisation and safe human-robot collaboration. Given the complexity of modern robotic systems, dynamics modelling remains non-trivial, mostly in the presence of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 David Jorge , Gabriella Pizzuto , Michael Mistry

Deep ensembles deliver state-of-the-art, reliable uncertainty quantification, but their heavy computational and memory requirements hinder their practical deployments to real applications such as on-device AI. Knowledge distillation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Sehyun Park , Jongjin Lee , Yunseop Shin , Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

This paper proposes a physically consistent Gaussian Process (GP) enabling the identification of uncertain Lagrangian systems. The function space is tailored according to the energy components of the Lagrangian and the differential equation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-06 Giulio Evangelisti , Sandra Hirche

We extensively study how to combine Generative Adversarial Networks and learned compression to obtain a state-of-the-art generative lossy compression system. In particular, we investigate normalization layers, generator and discriminator…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-26 Fabian Mentzer , George Toderici , Michael Tschannen , Eirikur Agustsson

Super-resolution using deep neural networks typically relies on highly curated training sets that are often unavailable in clinical deployment scenarios. Using loss functions that assume Gaussian-distributed residuals makes the learning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Suyash P. Awate

Despite successful use in a wide variety of disciplines for data analysis and prediction, machine learning (ML) methods suffer from a lack of understanding of the reliability of predictions due to the lack of transparency and black-box…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-04-04 Evan Askanazi , Ilya Grinberg

Modern deep learning models have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for many data modalities. However, their application to many real-world tasks is restricted by poor uncertainty estimates, such as overconfidence on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Ben Adlam , Jaehoon Lee , Lechao Xiao , Jeffrey Pennington , Jasper Snoek

Deep learning models are being adopted and applied on various critical decision-making tasks, yet they are trained to provide point predictions without providing degrees of confidence. The trustworthiness of deep learning models can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Daniel Nolte , Souparno Ghosh , Ranadip Pal
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