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Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

Time series forecasting requires capturing patterns across multiple temporal scales while maintaining computational efficiency. This paper introduces AWGformer, a novel architecture that integrates adaptive wavelet decomposition with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Wei Li

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Multivariate time series forecasting tasks are usually conducted in a channel-dependent (CD) way since it can incorporate more variable-relevant information. However, it may also involve a lot of irrelevant variables, and this even leads to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Qinshuo Liu , Yanwen Fang , Pengtao Jiang , Guodong Li

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Transformer-based time series forecasting has recently gained strong interest due to the ability of transformers to model sequential data. Most of the state-of-the-art architectures exploit either temporal or inter-channel dependencies,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Davide Villaboni , Alberto Castellini , Ivan Luciano Danesi , Alessandro Farinelli

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

To analyze multivariate time series, most previous methods assume regular subsampling of time series, where the interval between adjacent measurements and the number of samples remain unchanged. Practically, data collection systems could…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Yuxi Wei , Juntong Peng , Tong He , Chenxin Xu , Jian Zhang , Shirui Pan , Siheng Chen

The field of time series forecasting is rapidly advancing, with recent large-scale Transformers and lightweight Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) models showing strong predictive performance. However, conventional Transformer models are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-13 Zheng Zhou , Yu-Jie Xiong , Jia-Chen Zhang , Chun-Ming Xia , Xi-Jiong Xie

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely applied in fields such as transportation, energy, and finance. However, the data commonly suffers from issues of multi-scale characteristics, weak correlations, and noise interference, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Xiang Ao

Predicting the future behavior of agents is a fundamental task in autonomous vehicle domains. Accurate prediction relies on comprehending the surrounding map, which significantly regularizes agent behaviors. However, existing methods have…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-01-19 Chen Feng , Hangning Zhou , Huadong Lin , Zhigang Zhang , Ziyao Xu , Chi Zhang , Boyu Zhou , Shaojie Shen

In the realm of time series forecasting (TSF), it is imperative for models to adeptly discern and distill hidden patterns within historical time series data to forecast future states. Transformer-based models exhibit formidable efficacy in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Zihan Wang , Fanheng Kong , Shi Feng , Ming Wang , Xiaocui Yang , Han Zhao , Daling Wang , Yifei Zhang

TwinFormer is a hierarchical Transformer for long-sequence time-series forecasting. It divides the input into non-overlapping temporal patches and processes them in two stages: (1) a Local Informer with top-$k$ Sparse Attention models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Mahima Kumavat , Aditya Maheshwari

A reliable long-term time-series forecaster is highly demanded in practice but comes across many challenges such as low computational and memory footprints as well as robustness against dynamic learning environments. This paper proposes…

The Transformer model has shown strong performance in multivariate time series forecasting by leveraging channel-wise self-attention. However, this approach lacks temporal constraints when computing temporal features and does not utilize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Shiwei Guo , Ziang Chen , Yupeng Ma , Yunfei Han , Yi Wang

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

In recent times, Large Language Models (LLMs) have captured a global spotlight and revolutionized the field of Natural Language Processing. One of the factors attributed to the effectiveness of LLMs is the model architecture used for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-31 Oluwaseyi Ogunfowora , Homayoun Najjaran

Long-term urban mobility predictions play a crucial role in the effective management of urban facilities and services. Conventionally, urban mobility data has been structured as spatiotemporal videos, treating longitude and latitude grids…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Jinguo Cheng , Ke Li , Yuxuan Liang , Lijun Sun , Junchi Yan , Yuankai Wu

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski