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Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

Recent theoretical studies (Kou et al., 2023; Cao et al., 2022) have revealed a sharp phase transition from benign to harmful overfitting when the noise-to-feature ratio exceeds a threshold-a situation common in long-tailed data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Ruichen Xu , Kexin Chen

In many modern applications of deep learning the neural network has many more parameters than the data points used for its training. Motivated by those practices, a large body of recent theoretical research has been devoted to studying…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-07 A. Tsigler , P. L. Bartlett

The phenomenon of benign overfitting is one of the key mysteries uncovered by deep learning methodology: deep neural networks seem to predict well, even with a perfect fit to noisy training data. Motivated by this phenomenon, we consider…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Peter L. Bartlett , Philip M. Long , Gábor Lugosi , Alexander Tsigler

Recent research in neural networks and machine learning suggests that using many more parameters than strictly required by the initial complexity of a regression problem can result in more accurate or faster-converging models -- contrary to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Arthur Castello B. de Oliveira , Milad Siami , Eduardo D. Sontag

This paper studies linear overparameterized models in economic forecasting and highlights that including noise variables (regressors with no predictive power) regularizes the estimator. We consider a setting where both the outcome variable…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-16 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Zhentao Shi

Overparameterized neural networks (NNs) are observed to generalize well even when trained to perfectly fit noisy data. This phenomenon motivated a large body of work on "benign overfitting", where interpolating predictors achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-22 Guy Kornowski , Gilad Yehudai , Ohad Shamir

Heteroscedastic regression models a Gaussian variable's mean and variance as a function of covariates. Parametric methods that employ neural networks for these parameter maps can capture complex relationships in the data. Yet, optimizing…

Meta learning has demonstrated tremendous success in few-shot learning with limited supervised data. In those settings, the meta model is usually overparameterized. While the conventional statistical learning theory suggests that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-10 Lisha Chen , Songtao Lu , Tianyi Chen

Current deep neural networks are highly overparameterized (up to billions of connection weights) and nonlinear. Yet they can fit data almost perfectly through variants of gradient descent algorithms and achieve unexpected levels of…

Over-parameterized neural network models often lead to significant performance discrepancies between training and test sets, a phenomenon known as overfitting. To address this, researchers have proposed numerous regularization techniques…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 RuiZhe Jiang , Haotian Lei

Assisted by the availability of data and high performance computing, deep learning techniques have achieved breakthroughs and surpassed human performance empirically in difficult tasks, including object recognition, speech recognition, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-23 Shaeke Salman , Xiuwen Liu

In classical statistics, the bias-variance trade-off describes how varying a model's complexity (e.g., number of fit parameters) affects its ability to make accurate predictions. According to this trade-off, optimal performance is achieved…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Benign overfitting is a phenomenon in machine learning where a model perfectly fits (interpolates) the training data, including noisy examples, yet still generalizes well to unseen data. Understanding this phenomenon has attracted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Junhyung Park , Patrick Bloebaum , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

The ultimate goal of regression analysis is to obtain information about the conditional distribution of a response given a set of explanatory variables. This goal is, however, seldom achieved because most established regression models only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Torsten Hothorn , Thomas Kneib , Peter Bühlmann

Overfitting is a phenomenon that occurs when a machine learning model is trained for too long and focused too much on the exact fitness of the training samples to the provided training labels and cannot keep track of the predictive rules…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Nuri Korhan , Samet Bayram

The phenomenon of benign overfitting, where a predictor perfectly fits noisy training data while attaining near-optimal expected loss, has received much attention in recent years, but still remains not fully understood beyond well-specified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Ohad Shamir

The bias-variance trade-off is a central concept in supervised learning. In classical statistics, increasing the complexity of a model (e.g., number of parameters) reduces bias but also increases variance. Until recently, it was commonly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

In the context of neural network models, overparametrization refers to the phenomena whereby these models appear to generalize well on the unseen data, even though the number of parameters significantly exceeds the sample sizes, and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Matt Emschwiller , David Gamarnik , Eren C. Kızıldağ , Ilias Zadik

Neural network models and deep models are one of the leading and state of the art models in machine learning. Most successful deep neural models are the ones with many layers which highly increases their number of parameters. Training such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-17 Soufiane Belharbi
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