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The explosion of Time Series (TS) data, driven by advancements in technology, necessitates sophisticated analytical methods. Modern management systems increasingly rely on analyzing this data, highlighting the importance of effcient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Seyedeh Azadeh Fallah Mortezanejad , Ruochen Wang

Deep learning methods have gained popularity in recent years through the media and the relative ease of implementation through open source packages such as Keras. We investigate the applicability of popular recurrent neural networks in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Andrew T. Karl , James Wisnowski , Lambros Petropoulos

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have become competitive forecasting methods, as most notably shown in the winning method of the recent M4 competition. However, established statistical models such as ETS and ARIMA gain their popularity not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-24 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

Designing robust and accurate predictive models for stock price prediction has been an active area of research for a long time. While on one side, the supporters of the efficient market hypothesis claim that it is impossible to forecast…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

In order to support the advancement of machine learning methods for predicting time-series data, we present a comprehensive dataset designed explicitly for long-term time-series forecasting. We incorporate a collection of datasets obtained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-29 Jacek Cyranka , Szymon Haponiuk

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Accurate evaluation of forecasting models is essential for ensuring reliable predictions. Current practices for evaluating and comparing forecasting models focus on summarising performance into a single score, using metrics such as SMAPE.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Roque , Carlos Soares

In this paper, five different deep learning models are being compared for predicting travel time. These models are autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, recurrent neural network (RNN) model, autoregressive (AR) model,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Armstrong Aboah , Elizabeth Arthur

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

Time series forecasting is a fundamental task emerging from diverse data-driven applications. Many advanced autoregressive methods such as ARIMA were used to develop forecasting models. Recently, deep learning based methods such as DeepAr,…

The quest for accurate economic forecasting has traditionally been dominated by econometric models, which most of the times rely on the assumptions of linear relationships and stationarity in of the data. However, the complex and often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Bogdan Oancea

Weather forecasting benefits us in various ways from farmers in cultivation and harvesting their crops to airlines to schedule their flights. Weather forecasting is a challenging task due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Therefore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Eranga De Saa , Lochandaka Ranathunga

Forecasting stock market prices remains a complex challenge for traders, analysts, and engineers due to the multitude of factors that influence price movements. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Kaushal Attaluri , Mukesh Tripathi , Srinithi Reddy , Shivendra

Financial time series forecasting is, without a doubt, the top choice of computational intelligence for finance researchers from both academia and financial industry due to its broad implementation areas and substantial impact. Machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Omer Berat Sezer , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta

Financial models have increasingly become popular in recent times, and the focus of researchers has been to find the perfect model which fits all circumstances; however, this has not been thoroughly achieved, and as a result, many financial…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Sydney Anuyah Mary Akinyemi , Chika Yinka-Banjo

In tis paper we consider approaches for time series forecasting based on deep neural networks and neuro-fuzzy nets. Also, we make short review of researches in forecasting based on various models of ANFIS models. Deep Learning has proven to…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-11-12 Alexey Averkin , Sergey Yarushev