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Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf

Monitoring the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest CO$_2$ uptake (Gross Primary Production, GPP), remains a central challenge in terrestrial ecosystem research. While Eddy Covariance (EC) towers provide high-frequency estimates, their limited…

While Transformers have revolutionized machine learning on various data, existing Transformers for temporal graphs face limitations in (1) restricted receptive fields, (2) overhead of subgraph extraction, and (3) suboptimal generalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Kay Liu , Jiahao Ding , MohamadAli Torkamani , Philip S. Yu

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in numerous real-world applications, yet existing models remain constrained by their reliance on a limited historical context. This limitation prevents them from effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-12 Fanpu Cao , Lu Dai , Jindong Han , Hui Xiong

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

An impact of climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events. However, confidently predicting the likelihood of extreme precipitation at seasonal scales remains an outstanding challenge. Here, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-15 Daniel Salles Civitarese , Daniela Szwarcman , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

The \textit{Temporal Fusion Transformer} (TFT), proposed by Lim \textit{et al.}, published in \textit{International Journal of Forecasting} (2021), is a state-of-the-art attention-based deep neural network architecture specifically designed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Krishnakanta Barik , Goutam Paul

Airport performance prediction with a reasonable look-ahead time is a challenging task and has been attempted by various prior research. Traffic, demand, weather, and traffic management actions are all critical inputs to any prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Liya Wang , Alex Tien , Jason Chou

Temporal graph classification plays a critical role in applications such as cybersecurity, brain connectivity analysis, social dynamics, and traffic monitoring. Despite its significance, this problem remains underexplored compared to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Md. Joshem Uddin , Soham Changani , Baris Coskunuzer

In exploring Predictive Health Management (PHM) strategies for Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC), the Transformer model, widely used in data-driven approaches, excels in many fields but struggles with time series analysis due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Zezhi Tang , Xiaoyu Chen , Xin Jin , Benyuan Zhang , Wenyu Liang

Health prediction is crucial for ensuring reliability, minimizing downtime, and optimizing maintenance in industrial systems. Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is a key component of this process; however, many existing models struggle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Mohamadreza Akbari Pour , Mohamad Sadeq Karimi , Amir Hossein Mazloumi

Over the past few decades, the hydrology community has witnessed notable advancements in streamflow prediction, particularly with the introduction of cutting-edge machine-learning algorithms. Recurrent neural networks, especially Long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Sinan Rasiya Koya , Tirthankar Roy

Accurately predicting smartphone app usage is challenging due to the sparsity and irregularity of user behavior, especially under cold-start and low-activity conditions. Existing approaches mostly rely on static or attention-only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Longlong Li , Cunquan Qu , Guanghui Wang

The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is widely used for analyzing non-stationary signals. However, its performance is highly sensitive to its parameters, and manual or heuristic tuning often yields suboptimal results. To overcome this…

声音 · 计算机科学 2025-06-27 Maxime Leiber , Yosra Marnissi , Axel Barrau , Sylvain Meignen , Laurent Massoulié

Combining attention with recurrence has shown to be valuable in sequence modeling, including hydrological predictions. Here, we explore the strength of Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) over Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks in…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-06-27 Sinan Rasiya Koya , Tirthankar Roy

Feature transformation plays a critical role in enhancing machine learning model performance by optimizing data representations. Recent state-of-the-art approaches address this task as a continuous embedding optimization problem, converting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Yang Gao , Dongjie Wang , Scott Piersall , Ye Zhang , Liqiang Wang

The extensive adoption of web technologies in the finance and investment sectors has led to an explosion of financial data, which contributes to the complexity of the forecasting task. Traditional machine learning models exhibit limitations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Renjun Jia , Zian Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Efficient inventory management and accurate sales forecasting are critical challenges in large-scale e-commerce platforms such as Amazon, where stockouts and overstocking can lead to substantial financial losses and operational…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Zheqi Hu , Yiwen Hu , Hanwu Li

In order to enhance the performance of Transformer models for long-term multivariate forecasting while minimizing computational demands, this paper introduces the Joint Time-Frequency Domain Transformer (JTFT). JTFT combines time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Yushu Chen , Shengzhuo Liu , Jinzhe Yang , Hao Jing , Wenlai Zhao , Guangwen Yang
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