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相关论文: MPSTAN: Metapopulation-based Spatio-Temporal Atten…

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Short-range prediction of convective precipitation from weather radar observations is essential for severe weather warnings. However, deep learning models trained with pixel-wise error metrics tend to produce overly smooth forecasts that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Haofei Cui , Guangxin He , Juanzhen Sun , Jingjia Luo , Haonan Chen , Xiaoran Zhuang , Mingxuan Chen , Xian Xiao

In this paper, we develop a method to estimate the infection-rate of a disease, over a region, as a field that varies in space and time. To do so, we use time-series of case-counts of symptomatic patients as observed in the areal units that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Cosmin Safta , Wyatt Bridgman , Jaideep Ray

With the acceleration of urbanization, traffic forecasting has become an essential role in smart city construction. In the context of spatio-temporal prediction, the key lies in how to model the dependencies of sensors. However, existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-21 Qian Ma , Zijian Zhang , Xiangyu Zhao , Haoliang Li , Hongwei Zhao , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Wanyu Wang

The prediction of wind in terms of both wind speed and direction, which has a crucial impact on many real-world applications like aviation and wind power generation, is extremely challenging due to the high stochasticity and complicated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Fanling Huang , Yangdong Deng

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Due to effective pattern mining and feature representation, neural forecasting models based on deep learning have achieved great progress. The premise of effective learning is to collect sufficient data. However, in time series forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Yan Gao , Yan Wang , Qiang Wang

Spatio-temporal forecasting is an open research field whose interest is growing exponentially. In this work we focus on creating a complex deep neural framework for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting with comparatively very good…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Rodrigo de Medrano , José L. Aznarte

The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-21 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Jose' J. Ramasco , Pablo Jensen , Vittoria Colizza

Medical event prediction (MEP) is a fundamental task in the medical domain, which needs to predict medical events, including medications, diagnosis codes, laboratory tests, procedures, outcomes, and so on, according to historical medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Sicen Liu , Xiaolong Wang , Yang Xiang , Hui Xu , Hui Wang , Buzhou Tang

Mathematical modeling is one of the key factors of the effective control of newly found infectious diseases, such as COVID-19. Our knowledge about the parameters and the course of the infection is highly limited in the beginning of the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-10-13 Péter Boldog , Norbert Bogya , Zsolt Vizi

The exponential growth of multivariate time series data from sensor networks in domains like industrial monitoring and smart cities requires efficient and accurate forecasting models. Current deep learning methods often fail to adequately…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Chengyi Yang , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Recently, deep neural networks have gained increasing popularity in the field of time series forecasting. A primary reason for their success is their ability to effectively capture complex temporal dynamics across multiple related time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-23 Xiaoyong Jin , Youngsuk Park , Danielle C. Maddix , Hao Wang , Yuyang Wang

Traffic forecasting requires modeling complex temporal dynamics and long-range spatial dependencies over large sensor networks. Existing methods typically face a trade-off between expressiveness and efficiency: Transformer-based models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Xinjin Li , Jinghan Cao , Mengyue Wang , Yue Wu , Longxiang Yan , Yeyang Zhou , Ziqi Sha , Yu Ma

We established a Spatio-Temporal Neural Network, namely STNN, to forecast the spread of the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak worldwide in 2020. The basic structure of STNN is similar to the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) incorporating with not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Yi-Shuai Niu , Wentao Ding , Junpeng Hu , Wenxu Xu , Stephane Canu

Calibrating complex epidemiological models to observed data is a crucial step to provide both insights into the current disease dynamics, i.e.\ by estimating a reproductive number, as well as to provide reliable forecasts and scenario…

Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-based spaces. Existing methods often model spatial and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

Prediction of couriers' delivery timely rates in advance is essential to the logistics industry, enabling companies to take preemptive measures to ensure the normal operation of delivery services. This becomes even more critical during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Jinhui Yi , Huan Yan , Haotian Wang , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

Financial time-series forecasting is one of the most challenging domains in the field of time-series analysis. This is mostly due to the highly non-stationary and noisy nature of financial time-series data. With progressive efforts of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-17 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis