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In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

A user-focused verification approach for evaluating probability forecasts of binary outcomes (also known as probabilistic classifiers) is demonstrated that is (i) based on proper scoring rules, (ii) focuses on user decision thresholds, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-25 Nicholas Loveday , Robert Taggart , Mohammadreza Khanarmuei

Most efforts in interpretability in deep learning have focused on (1) extracting explanations of a specific downstream task in relation to the input features and (2) imposing constraints on the model, often at the expense of predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Marco Bertolini , Djork-Arné Clevert , Floriane Montanari

Attribution scores reflect how important the feature values in an input entity are for the output of a machine learning model. One of the most popular attribution scores is the SHAP score, which is an instantiation of the general Shapley…

Proper scoring rules incentivize experts to accurately report beliefs, assuming predictions cannot influence outcomes. We relax this assumption and investigate incentives when predictions are performative, i.e., when they can influence the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Caspar Oesterheld , Johannes Treutlein , Emery Cooper , Rubi Hudson

Observational cohort studies with oversampled exposed subjects are typically implemented to understand the causal effect of a rare exposure. Because the distribution of exposed subjects in the sample differs from the source population,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Sherri Rose

Given the prevalence of missing data in modern statistical research, a broad range of methods is available for any given imputation task. How does one choose the `best' imputation method in a given application? The standard approach is to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-01 Jeffrey Näf , Meta-Lina Spohn , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

A vital aspect of the classification based model construction process is the calibration of the scoring function. One of the weaknesses of the calibration process is that it does not take into account the information about the relative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Pawel Trajdos , Robert Burduk

Generalization error predictors (GEPs) aim to predict model performance on unseen distributions by deriving dataset-level error estimates from sample-level scores. However, GEPs often utilize disparate mechanisms (e.g., regressors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Puja Trivedi , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Random features provide a practical framework for large-scale kernel approximation and supervised learning. It has been shown that data-dependent sampling of random features using leverage scores can significantly reduce the number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-21 Shahin Shahrampour , Soheil Kolouri

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

In this paper we present an exploratory research on quantifying the impact that data distribution has on the performance and evaluation of NLP models. We propose an automated framework that measures the data point distribution across 6…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Venelin Kovatchev , Matthew Lease

Solutions to multi-objective optimization problems can generally not be compared or ordered, due to the lack of orderability of the single objectives. Furthermore, decision-makers are often made to believe that scaled objectives can be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-31 Sebastian Hönel , Welf Löwe

Many classification performance metrics exist, each suited to a specific application. However, these metrics often differ in scale and can exhibit varying sensitivity to class imbalance rates in the test set. As a result, it is difficult to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Ningsheng Zhao , Trang Bui , Jia Yuan Yu , Krzysztof Dzieciolowski

For semi-supervised techniques to be applied safely in practice we at least want methods to outperform their supervised counterparts. We study this question for classification using the well-known quadratic surrogate loss function. Using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-26 Jesse H. Krijthe , Marco Loog

The development of state-of-the-art systems in different applied areas of machine learning (ML) is driven by benchmarks, which have shaped the paradigm of evaluating generalisation capabilities from multiple perspectives. Although the…

Existing semi-supervised learning (SSL) algorithms use a single weight to balance the loss of labeled and unlabeled examples, i.e., all unlabeled examples are equally weighted. But not all unlabeled data are equal. In this paper we study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-30 Zhongzheng Ren , Raymond A. Yeh , Alexander G. Schwing

The evaluation of natural language processing (NLP) systems is crucial for advancing the field, but current benchmarking approaches often assume that all systems have scores available for all tasks, which is not always practical. In…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Anas Himmi , Ekhine Irurozki , Nathan Noiry , Stephan Clemencon , Pierre Colombo

Computational models providing accurate estimates of their uncertainty are crucial for risk management associated with decision making in healthcare contexts. This is especially true since many state-of-the-art systems are trained using the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-09 Hongshu Liu , Nabeel Seedat , Julia Ive

The performance of a machine learning system is usually evaluated by using i.i.d.\ observations with true labels. However, acquiring ground truth labels is expensive, while obtaining unlabeled samples may be cheaper. Stratified sampling can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-29 Tiancheng Yu , Xiyu Zhai , Suvrit Sra