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Drawing causal inference with observational studies is the central pillar of many disciplines. One sufficient condition for identifying the causal effect is that the treatment-outcome relationship is unconfounded conditional on the observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Peng Ding , Tyler VanderWeele , James Robins

In this paper, we develop a method to assess the sensitivity of local average treatment effect estimates to potential violations of the monotonicity assumption of Imbens and Angrist (1994). We parameterize the degree to which monotonicity…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-14 Claudia Noack

Researchers and practitioners often wish to measure treatment effects in settings where units interact via markets and recommendation systems. In these settings, units are affected by certain shared states, like prices, algorithmic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Chris Hays , Manish Raghavan

This paper introduces R-OLS, an estimator for the average partial effect (APE) of a continuous treatment variable on an outcome variable in the presence of non-linear and non-additively separable confounding of unknown form. Identification…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-17 Julius Schäper

Conventional causal estimands, such as the average treatment effect (ATE), capture how the mean outcome in a population or subpopulation would change if all units were assigned to treatment versus control. Real-world policy changes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Xiang Zhou , Aleksei Opacic

Instrumental variables are a popular study design for the estimation of treatment effects in the presence of unobserved confounders. In the canonical instrumental variables design, the instrument is a binary variable. In many settings,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Prabrisha Rakshit , Alexander Levis , Luke Keele

This paper studies the estimation of causal parameters in the generalized local average treatment effect (GLATE) model, a generalization of the classical LATE model encompassing multi-valued treatment and instrument. We derive the efficient…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-07 Haitian Xie

This study introduces a data-driven, machine learning-based method to detect suitable control variables and instruments for assessing the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data. Our approach tests the joint…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-20 Nicolas Apfel , Julia Hatamyar , Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

In causal inference, a fundamental task is to estimate the effect resulting from a specific treatment, which is often handled with inverse probability weighting. Despite an abundance of attention to the advancement of this task, most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-30 Kuan-Hsun Wu

Many economic studies use shift-share instruments to estimate causal effects. Often, all shares need to fulfil an exclusion restriction, making the identifying assumption strict. This paper proposes to use methods that relax the exclusion…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-05 Nicolas Apfel

We study treatment-effect estimation using panel data. The treatment may be non-binary, non-absorbing, and the outcome may be affected by treatment lags. We make a parallel-trends assumption, and propose event-study estimators of the effect…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-13 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Quantifying treatment effect heterogeneity is a crucial task in many areas of causal inference, e.g. optimal treatment allocation and estimation of subgroup effects. We study the problem of estimating the level sets of the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H. Kennedy , Luke J. Keele

There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

Boundary discontinuity designs are used to learn about causal treatment effects along a continuous assignment boundary that splits units into control and treatment groups according to a bivariate location score. We analyze location-based…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-15 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

We consider Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) with One Sided Noncompliance that arise in applications such as digital recommendations and adaptive medical trials. These are settings where decision makers encourage individuals to take…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-06 Ravi B. Sojitra , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Estimating causal effects has become an integral part of most applied fields. In this work we consider the violation of the classical no-interference assumption with units connected by a network. For tractability, we consider a known…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-05 Alexandre Belloni , Fei Fang , Alexander Volfovsky

Standard approaches in generalizability often focus on generalizing the intent-to-treat (ITT). However, in practice, a more policy-relevant quantity is the generalized impact of an intervention across compliers. While instrumental variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Zhongren Chen , Melody Huang

Randomized experiments are widely used to estimate causal effects across a variety of domains. However, classical causal inference approaches rely on critical independence assumptions that are violated by network interference, when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-18 Mayleen Cortez , Matthew Eichhorn , Christina Lee Yu

The study of treatment effects is often complicated by noncompliance and missing data. In the one-sided noncompliance setting where of interest are the complier and noncomplier average causal effects (CACE and NACE), we address outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-25 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Michelle C. Carlson , Elizabeth A. Stuart
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