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This paper proposes a framework for developing forecasting models by streamlining the connections between core components of the developmental process. The proposed framework enables swift and robust integration of new datasets,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Jonathan Hans Soeseno , Sergio González , Trista Pei-Chun Chen

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

Time series forecasting (TSF) has been a challenging research area, and various models have been developed to address this task. However, almost all these models are trained with numerical time series data, which is not as effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Luoxiao Yang , Xinqi Fan , Zijun Zhang

Particle accelerators are complex facilities that produce large amounts of structured data and have clear optimization goals as well as precisely defined control requirements. As such they are naturally amenable to data-driven research…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2023-03-01 Sichen Li , Andreas Adelmann

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-10 Ben D. Fulcher , Nick S. Jones

Many scientific and economic applications involve the statistical learning of high-dimensional functional time series, where the number of functional variables is comparable to, or even greater than, the number of serially dependent…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Chen , Xinghao Qiao , Qiwei Yao

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

This paper deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one has also the choice of using a candidate pool of contemporaneous predictors for each target series. Starting with a structural model for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-20 S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Jinwen Qiu , Ning Ning

We develop a novel algorithm for feature extraction in time series data by leveraging tools from topological data analysis. Our algorithm provides a simple, efficient way to successfully harness topological features of the attractor of the…

计算几何 · 计算机科学 2019-06-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo

We extend the feature selection methodology to dependent data and propose a novel time series predictor selection scheme that accommodates statistical dependence in a more typical i.i.d sub-sampling based framework. Furthermore, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Avleen S. Bijral

Multivariate time series are ubiquitous objects in signal processing. Measuring a distance or similarity between two such objects is of prime interest in a variety of applications, including machine learning, but can be very difficult as…

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

Time series shapelets are discriminative sub-sequences and their similarity to time series can be used for time series classification. Initial shapelet extraction algorithms searched shapelets by complete enumeration of all possible data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-03 Dripta S. Raychaudhuri , Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

This paper discusses predictive inference and feature selection for generalized linear models with scarce but high-dimensional data. We argue that in many cases one can benefit from a decision theoretically justified two-stage approach:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-09 Juho Piironen , Markus Paasiniemi , Aki Vehtari

Despite extensive research, time series classification and forecasting on noisy data remain highly challenging. The main difficulties lie in finding suitable mathematical concepts to describe time series and effectively separate noise from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Chandrajit Bajaj , Minh Nguyen

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Empirical risk minimization is a standard principle for choosing algorithms in learning theory. In this paper we study the properties of empirical risk minimization for time series. The analysis is carried out in a general framework that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-12 Christian Brownlees , Jordi Llorens-Terrazas

Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun