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相关论文: The Importance of Time in Causal Algorithmic Recou…

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Causal asymmetry is one of the great surprises in predictive modelling: the memory required to predict the future differs from the memory required to retrodict the past. There is a privileged temporal direction for modelling a stochastic…

Large language models have demonstrated strong reasoning capabilities in general knowledge question answering. However, their ability to handle temporal information remains limited. To address this limitation, existing approaches often…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Yimin Deng , Yejing Wang , Zhenxi Lin , Zichuan Fu , Guoshuai Zhao , Derong Xu , Yefeng Zheng , Xiangyu Zhao , Xian Wu , Li Zhu , Xueming Qian

Hyperparameters play a critical role in machine learning. Hyperparameter tuning can make the difference between state-of-the-art and poor prediction performance for any algorithm, but it is particularly challenging for structure learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Damian Machlanski , Spyridon Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

Many transfer problems require re-using previously optimal decisions for solving new tasks, which suggests the need for learning algorithms that can modify the mechanisms for choosing certain actions independently of those for choosing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-22 Michael Chang , Sidhant Kaushik , Sergey Levine , Thomas L. Griffiths

Reversal of the time direction in stochastic systems driven by white noise has been central throughout the development of stochastic realization theory, filtering and smoothing. Similar ideas were developed in connection with certain…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-09-03 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

Backdoor adjustment is a technique in causal inference for estimating interventional quantities from purely observational data. For example, in medical settings, backdoor adjustment can be used to control for confounding and estimate the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-11 Daniel Israel , Aditya Grover , Guy Van den Broeck

Inferring causation from time series data is of scientific interest in different disciplines, particularly in neural connectomics. While different approaches exist in the literature with parametric modeling assumptions, we focus on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-18 Rahul Biswas , SuryaNarayana Sripada , Somabha Mukherjee

We investigate three aspects of the supposed problem of time: The disagreement between the treatments of time in general relativity and quantum theory, the problem of recovering time from within an isolated Universe and the prevalence of a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-11-27 K. L. H. Bryan , A. J. M. Medved

Citation recommendation is an important task to assist scholars in finding candidate literature to cite. Traditional studies focus on static models of recommending citations, which do not explicitly distinguish differences between papers…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-01-20 Shutian Ma , Heng Zhang , Chengzhi Zhang , Xiaozhong Liu

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign importance to features which lack causal influence on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

The difficulty of explaining non-local correlations in a fixed causal structure sheds new light on the old debate on whether space and time are to be seen as fundamental. Refraining from assuming space-time as given a priori has a number of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-01-15 Ämin Baumeler , Stefan Wolf

Problems in fields such as healthcare, robotics, and finance requires reasoning about the value both of what decision or action to take and when to take it. The prevailing hope is that artificial intelligence will support such decisions by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-21 Yoav Wald , Mark Goldstein , Yonathan Efroni , Wouter A. C. van Amsterdam , Rajesh Ranganath

Faced with an ever-increasing complexity of their domains of application, artificial learning agents are now able to scale up in their ability to process an overwhelming amount of information coming from their interaction with an…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Mirza Ramicic , Andrea Bonarini

Temporal data, representing chronological observations of complex systems, has always been a typical data structure that can be widely generated by many domains, such as industry, medicine and finance. Analyzing this type of data is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-04 Chang Gong , Di Yao , Chuzhe Zhang , Wenbin Li , Jingping Bi

The importance of algorithmic fairness grows with the increasing impact machine learning has on people's lives. Recent work on fairness metrics shows the need for causal reasoning in fairness constraints. In this work, a practical method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Rik Helwegen , Christos Louizos , Patrick Forré

To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

Data-driven predictive algorithms are widely used to automate and guide high-stake decision making such as bail and parole recommendation, medical resource distribution, and mortgage allocation. Nevertheless, harmful outcomes biased against…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-06-03 Atoosa Kasirzadeh

Many recent studies use individual longitudinal data to analyze job search behaviors. Such data allow the use of fixed-effects models, which supposedly address the issue of dynamic selection and make it possible to identify the structural…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-09 Jeremy Zuchuat

Causal structure discovery from observational data is fundamental to the causal understanding of autonomous systems such as medical decision support systems, advertising campaigns and self-driving cars. This is essential to solve well-known…

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