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Bayesian sequence prediction is a simple technique for predicting future symbols sampled from an unknown measure on infinite sequences over a countable alphabet. While strong bounds on the expected cumulative error are known, there are only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-07-02 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter , Peter Sunehag

We study expected generalization bounds for the Hierarchical Federated Learning (HFL) setup using Wasserstein distance. We introduce a generalized framework in which data is sampled hierarchically, and we model it with a multi-layered tree…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Dario Filatrella , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayes framework (McAllester, 1999) can incorporate knowledge about the learning algorithm and (data) distribution through the use of distribution-dependent priors, yielding tighter generalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-22 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Daniel M. Roy

Learning to predict multi-label outputs is challenging, but in many problems there is a natural metric on the outputs that can be used to improve predictions. In this paper we develop a loss function for multi-label learning, based on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-31 Charlie Frogner , Chiyuan Zhang , Hossein Mobahi , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Tomaso Poggio

In the PAC-Bayesian literature, the C-Bound refers to an insightful relation between the risk of a majority vote classifier (under the zero-one loss) and the first two moments of its margin (i.e., the expected margin and the voters'…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Paul Viallard , Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant

Most PAC-Bayesian bounds hold in the batch learning setting where data is collected at once, prior to inference or prediction. This somewhat departs from many contemporary learning problems where data streams are collected and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-25 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj

Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks (WGANs) provide a versatile class of models, which have attracted great attention in various applications. However, this framework has two main drawbacks: (i) Wasserstein-1 (or Earth-Mover)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Tianyi Lin , Nan Yang

Let $f(\theta, X_1),$ $ \dots,$ $ f(\theta, X_n)$ be a sequence of random elements, where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $X_1, \dots, X_n$ are independent random variables (data), and $\theta$ is a random parameter distributed according to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Ilja Kuzborskij , Kwang-Sung Jun , Yulian Wu , Kyoungseok Jang , Francesco Orabona

Mutual information maximization has emerged as a powerful learning objective for unsupervised representation learning obtaining state-of-the-art performance in applications such as object recognition, speech recognition, and reinforcement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-29 Sherjil Ozair , Corey Lynch , Yoshua Bengio , Aaron van den Oord , Sergey Levine , Pierre Sermanet

We focus on a stochastic learning model where the learner observes a finite set of training examples and the output of the learning process is a data-dependent distribution over a space of hypotheses. The learned data-dependent distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Omar Rivasplata , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvari , John Shawe-Taylor

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

We consider the problem of learning the exact skeleton of general discrete Bayesian networks from potentially corrupted data. Building on distributionally robust optimization and a regression approach, we propose to optimize the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Yeshu Li , Brian D. Ziebart

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) integrates mechanistic knowledge, typically in the form of partial differential equations (PDE), into data-driven models. Despite strong empirical performance, its statistical generalisation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Thien V. Nguyen , Amaury Habrard , Benjamin Guedj

We explore the family of methods "PAC-Bayes with Backprop" (PBB) to train probabilistic neural networks by minimizing PAC-Bayes bounds. We present two training objectives, one derived from a previously known PAC-Bayes bound, and a second…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-07 Omar Rivasplata , Vikram M Tankasali , Csaba Szepesvari

In this paper, we derive a PAC-Bayes bound on the generalisation gap, in a supervised time-series setting for a special class of discrete-time non-linear dynamical systems. This class includes stable recurrent neural networks (RNN), and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-12 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafal Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

Meta learning automatically infers an inductive bias, that includes the hyperparameter of the base-learning algorithm, by observing data from a finite number of related tasks. This paper studies PAC-Bayes bounds on meta generalization gap.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Arezou Rezazadeh

Construction of ambiguity set in robust optimization relies on the choice of divergences between probability distributions. In distribution learning, choosing appropriate probability distributions based on observed data is critical for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-24 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Nan Yang

We make three related contributions motivated by the challenge of training stochastic neural networks, particularly in a PAC-Bayesian setting: (1) we show how averaging over an ensemble of stochastic neural networks enables a new class of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Felix Biggs , Benjamin Guedj

We derive explicit non-asymptotic PAC-Bayes generalization bounds for Gibbs posteriors, that is, data-dependent distributions over model parameters obtained by exponentially tilting a prior with the empirical risk. Unlike classical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Chenyang Wang , Yun Yang