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A central problem in sequential decision making is to develop algorithms that are practical and computationally efficient, yet support the use of flexible, general-purpose models. Focusing on the contextual bandit problem, recent progress…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-14 Yinglun Zhu , Dylan J. Foster , John Langford , Paul Mineiro

Unlike classical causal inference, which often has an average causal effect of a treatment within a population as a target, in settings such as personalized medicine, the goal is to map a given unit's characteristics to a treatment tailored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-13 Ilya Shpitser , Sourjya Sarkar

Intelligent decision-making within large and redundant action spaces remains challenging in deep reinforcement learning. Considering similar but ineffective actions at each step can lead to repetitive and unproductive trials. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Wenzhang Liu , Lianjun Jin , Lu Ren , Chaoxu Mu , Changyin Sun

Causal inference methods are widely applied in the fields of medicine, policy, and economics. Central to these applications is the estimation of treatment effects to make decisions. Current methods make binary yes-or-no decisions based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Will Y. Zou , Smitha Shyam , Michael Mui , Mingshi Wang , Jan Pedersen , Zoubin Ghahramani

We study the sequential batch learning problem in linear contextual bandits with finite action sets, where the decision maker is constrained to split incoming individuals into (at most) a fixed number of batches and can only observe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-15 Yanjun Han , Zhengqing Zhou , Zhengyuan Zhou , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yinyu Ye

Health-related data is noisy and stochastic in implying the true physiological states of patients, limiting information contained in single-moment observations for sequential clinical decision making. We model patient-clinician interactions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-05-21 Luchen Li , Matthieu Komorowski , Aldo A. Faisal

Markovian processes have long been used to model stochastic environments. Reinforcement learning has emerged as a framework to solve sequential planning and decision-making problems in such environments. In recent years, attempts were made…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-17 Mahdi Milani Fard , Joelle Pineau

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

Many processes, such as discrete event systems in engineering or population dynamics in biology, evolve in discrete space and continuous time. We consider the problem of optimal decision making in such discrete state and action space…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Bastian Alt , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl

Continuous-time Markov decision processes are an important class of models in a wide range of applications, ranging from cyber-physical systems to synthetic biology. A central problem is how to devise a policy to control the system in order…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-06-01 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Tomǎš Brázdil , Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti

Sequential search models provide a powerful framework for studying consumer search using rich data that records the sequence of consumer actions taken during the search process. In existing empirical applications, their implementation often…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-05 Tinghan Zhang

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms usually require a substantial amount of interaction data and perform well only for specific tasks in a fixed environment. In some scenarios such as healthcare, however, usually only few records are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-17 Chaochao Lu , Biwei Huang , Ke Wang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Kun Zhang , Bernhard Schölkopf

Autonomous systems are increasingly expected to operate in the presence of adversaries, though adversaries may infer sensitive information simply by observing a system. Therefore, present a deceptive sequential decision-making framework…

State-of-the-art methods for self-supervised sequential action alignment rely on deep networks that find correspondences across videos in time. They either learn frame-to-frame mapping across sequences, which does not leverage temporal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Weizhe Liu , Bugra Tekin , Huseyin Coskun , Vibhav Vineet , Pascal Fua , Marc Pollefeys

Many events and policies (treatments) occur at specific spatial locations, with researchers interested in their effects on nearby units. I approach the spatial treatment setting from an experimental perspective: What ideal experiment would…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-27 Michael Pollmann

Choosing optimal (or at least better) policies is an important problem in domains from medicine to education to finance and many others. One approach to this problem is through controlled experiments/trials - but controlled experiments are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-02-26 Onur Atan , William R. Zame , M van der Schaar

In many stochastic service systems, decision-makers find themselves making a sequence of decisions, with the number of decisions being unpredictable. To enhance these decisions, it is crucial to uncover the causal impact these decisions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Juan C. David Gomez , Amy L. Cochran , Gabriel Zayas-Caban

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has shown great promise in domains like healthcare and robotics but often struggles with adoption due to its lack of interpretability. Counterfactual explanations, which address "what if" scenarios, provide a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Shuyang Dong , Shangtong Zhang , Lu Feng

Controllable Markov chains describe the dynamics of sequential decision making tasks and are the central component in optimal control and reinforcement learning. In this work, we give the general form of an optimal policy for learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Peter N. Loxley

In many robotic tasks, agents must traverse a sequence of spatial regions to complete a mission. Such problems are inherently mixed discrete-continuous: a high-level action sequence and a physically feasible continuous trajectory. The…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Lidor Erez , Shahaf S. Shperberg , Ayal Taitler