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Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

Machine-learning driven safety-critical autonomous systems, such as self-driving cars, must be able to detect situations where its trained model is not able to make a trustworthy prediction. Often viewed as a black-box, it is non-obvious to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-11 Valerie Chen , Man-Ki Yoon , Zhong Shao

Object detection in autonomous cars is commonly based on camera images and Lidar inputs, which are often used to train prediction models such as deep artificial neural networks for decision making for object recognition, adjusting speed,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-13 Ferhat Ozgur Catak , Tao Yue , Shaukat Ali

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Capturing uncertainty in object detection is indispensable for safe autonomous driving. In recent years, deep learning has become the de-facto approach for object detection, and many probabilistic object detectors have been proposed.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-13 Di Feng , Ali Harakeh , Steven Waslander , Klaus Dietmayer

Multimodal foundation models offer promising advancements for enhancing driving perception systems, but their high computational and financial costs pose challenges. We develop a method that leverages foundation models to refine predictions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Yunhao Yang , Yuxin Hu , Mao Ye , Zaiwei Zhang , Zhichao Lu , Yi Xu , Ufuk Topcu , Ben Snyder

Estimating the uncertainty of a neural network plays a fundamental role in safety-critical settings. In perception for autonomous driving, measuring the uncertainty means providing additional calibrated information to downstream tasks, such…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Stefano Gasperini , Jan Haug , Mohammad-Ali Nikouei Mahani , Alvaro Marcos-Ramiro , Nassir Navab , Benjamin Busam , Federico Tombari

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

It is highly desirable to know how uncertain a model's predictions are, especially for models that are complex and hard to understand as in deep learning. Although there has been a growing interest in using deep learning methods in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Davood Karimi , Simon K. Warfield , Ali Gholipour

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and materials properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Albert Zhu , Simon Batzner , Albert Musaelian , Boris Kozinsky

We present a critical survey on the consistency of uncertainty quantification used in deep learning and highlight partial uncertainty coverage and many inconsistencies. We then provide a comprehensive and statistically consistent framework…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , J. Christine Chiu , C. Kevin Yang

We present a deep learning framework for probabilistic pixel-wise semantic segmentation, which we term Bayesian SegNet. Semantic segmentation is an important tool for visual scene understanding and a meaningful measure of uncertainty is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-10-12 Alex Kendall , Vijay Badrinarayanan , Roberto Cipolla

Deep Learning is becoming an increasingly important way to produce accurate hydrological predictions across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Uncertainty estimations are critical for actionable hydrological forecasting, and while…

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

One of the ways to make artificial intelligence more natural is to give it some room for doubt. Two main questions should be resolved in that way. First, how to train a model to estimate uncertainties of its own predictions? And then, what…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Alexey Kornaev , Elena Kornaeva , Oleg Ivanov , Ilya Pershin , Danis Alukaev

The reliability assessment of a machine learning model's prediction is an important quantity for the deployment in safety critical applications. Not only can it be used to detect novel sceneries, either as out-of-distribution or anomaly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-12 Steve Dias Da Cruz , Bertram Taetz , Thomas Stifter , Didier Stricker

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

A key factor for ensuring safety in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) is to avoid any abnormal behaviors under undesirable and unpredicted circumstances. As AVs increasingly rely on Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to perform safety-critical tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-03 Fabio Arnez , Huascar Espinoza , Ansgar Radermacher , François Terrier

Autonomous systems operating in unknown environments often rely heavily on visual sensor data, yet making safe and informed control decisions based on these measurements remains a significant challenge. To facilitate the integration of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-05 Jelena Trisovic , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger