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We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

While much research effort has been dedicated to scaling up sparse Gaussian process (GP) models based on inducing variables for big data, little attention is afforded to the other less explored class of low-rank GP approximations that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-21 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low

Standard Bayesian Optimization (BO) assumes uniform smoothness across the search space an assumption violated in multi-regime problems such as molecular conformation search through distinct energy basins or drug discovery across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Yan Zhang , Xuefeng Liu , Sipeng Chen , Sascha Ranftl , Chong Liu , Shibo Li

Bayesian optimization has proven to be a highly effective methodology for the global optimization of unknown, expensive and multimodal functions. The ability to accurately model distributions over functions is critical to the effectiveness…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-13 Jasper Snoek , Kevin Swersky , Richard S. Zemel , Ryan P. Adams

Extending data-driven algorithms based on Willems' fundamental lemma to stochastic data often requires empirical and customized workarounds. This work presents a unified Bayesian framework for linear systems that provides a systematic and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-01 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Seyed Ali Nazari , Matthias A. Müller

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

Bayesian optimization is an effective methodology for the global optimization of functions with expensive evaluations. It relies on querying a distribution over functions defined by a relatively cheap surrogate model. An accurate model for…

We treat projective dependency trees as latent variables in our probabilistic model and induce them in such a way as to be beneficial for a downstream task, without relying on any direct tree supervision. Our approach relies on Gumbel…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-06-25 Caio Corro , Ivan Titov

In this paper is proposed a new heuristic approach belonging to the field of evolutionary Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs). EDAs builds a probability model and a set of solutions is sampled from the model which characterizes the…

In this paper we develop a novel, discrete-time optimal control framework for mechanical systems with uncertain model parameters. We consider finite-horizon problems where the performance index depends on the statistical moments of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-05-17 George I. Boutselis , Yunpeng Pan , Gerardo De La Tore , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Bayesian decision theory advocates the Bayes classifier as the optimal approach for minimizing the risk in machine learning problems. Current deep learning algorithms usually solve for the optimal classifier by \emph{implicitly} estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Chaoqun Du , Yulin Wang , Shiji Song , Gao Huang

We formulate natural gradient variational inference (VI), expectation propagation (EP), and posterior linearisation (PL) as extensions of Newton's method for optimising the parameters of a Bayesian posterior distribution. This viewpoint…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-07 William J. Wilkinson , Simo Särkkä , Arno Solin

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

The Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model (GP-LVM) is a non-linear probabilistic method of embedding a high dimensional dataset in terms low dimensional `latent' variables. In this paper we illustrate that maximum a posteriori (MAP)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-07-02 James Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

We study linear models under heavy-tailed priors from a probabilistic viewpoint. Instead of computing a single sparse most probable (MAP) solution as in standard deterministic approaches, the focus in the Bayesian compressed sensing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-03-05 George Papandreou , Alan Yuille

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Gaussian Boson Sampling (GBS) is a promising candidate for demonstrating quantum computational advantage and can be applied to solving graph-related problems. In this work, we propose Markov chain Monte Carlo-based algorithms to sample from…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-10-31 Yexin Zhang , Shuo Zhou , Xinzhao Wang , Ziruo Wang , Ziyi Yang , Rui Yang , Yecheng Xue , Tongyang Li

Many machine learning models require a training procedure based on running stochastic gradient descent. A key element for the efficiency of those algorithms is the choice of the learning rate schedule. While finding good learning rates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-26 Victor Picheny , Vincent Dutordoir , Artem Artemev , Nicolas Durrande