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Exact inference in Bayesian networks is intractable and has an exponential dependence on the size of the largest clique in the corresponding clique tree (CT), necessitating approximations. Factor based methods to bound clique sizes are more…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-11 Shivani Bathla , Vinita Vasudevan

Exact computation of the partition function is known to be intractable, necessitating approximate inference techniques. Existing methods for approximate inference are slow to converge for many benchmarks. The control of accuracy-complexity…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-29 Shivani Bathla , Vinita Vasudevan

Exact inference of the most probable explanation (MPE) in Bayesian networks is known to be NP-complete. In this paper, we propose an algorithm for approximate MPE inference that is based on the incremental build-infer-approximate (IBIA)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Shivani Bathla , Vinita Vasudevan

The clique tree algorithm is the standard method for doing inference in Bayesian networks. It works by manipulating clique potentials - distributions over the variables in a clique. While this approach works well for many networks, it is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Daphne Koller , Uri Lerner , Dragomir Anguelov

Approximate inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) can be grouped into deterministic methods and Monte-Carlo-based methods. The former can often provide accurate and rapid inferences, but are typically associated with biases…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Fredrik Lindsten , Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF), combined with EM, is commonly used as an algorithm for likelihood maximization in undirected graphical models. In this paper, we present two iterative algorithms that generalize upon IPF. The first one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Wim Wiegerinck , Tom Heskes

Ancestral graph models, introduced by Richardson and Spirtes (2002), generalize both Markov random fields and Bayesian networks to a class of graphs with a global Markov property that is closed under conditioning and marginalization. By…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-19 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is widely used for analyzing correlated data, particularly in large-scale biomedical and social science applications. Scalable Bayesian inference for GLMMs is challenging because the marginal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Samuel I. Berchuck , Youngsoo Baek , Felipe A. Medeiros , Andrea Agazzi

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Independence-based (IB) assignments to Bayesian belief networks were originally proposed as abductive explanations. IB assignments assign fewer variables in abductive explanations than do schemes assigning values to all evidentially…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Eugene Santos , Solomon Eyal Shimony

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is currently done via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with simple proposal mechanisms. This hinders exploration efficiency and often requires long runs to deliver accurate posterior estimates. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Oleg Arenz , Mingjun Zhong , Gerhard Neumann

Graphical models use graphs to compactly capture stochastic dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. Inference over graphical models corresponds to finding marginal probability distributions given joint probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-04-02 Divyanshu Vats , José M. F. Moura

Inference for continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) becomes challenging when the process is only observed at discrete time points. The exact likelihood is intractable, and existing methods often struggle even in medium-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Tao Tang , Lachlan Astfalck , David Dunson

Bayesian inference for exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) is a doubly-intractable problem because of the intractability of both the likelihood and posterior normalizing factor. Auxiliary variable based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

A common network inference problem, arising from real-world data constraints, is how to infer a dynamic network from its time-aggregated adjacency matrix and time-varying marginals (i.e., row and column sums). Prior approaches to this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-21 Serina Chang , Frederic Koehler , Zhaonan Qu , Jure Leskovec , Johan Ugander

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

Recent advances in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) extend the scope of Bayesian inference to models for which the likelihood function is intractable. Although these developments allow us to estimate model parameters, other basic problems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-12 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Scott D. Brown , Guy E. Hawkins

Lifted probabilistic inference algorithms have been successfully applied to a large number of symmetric graphical models. Unfortunately, the majority of real-world graphical models is asymmetric. This is even the case for relational…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-12-02 Guy Van den Broeck , Mathias Niepert

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart
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