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Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

Software fault prediction (SFP) is a critical task in software engineering, enabling early identification of faults in modules to improve software quality and reduce maintenance costs. This research investigates the combined effects of…

This document describes an infra-structure provided by the R package performanceEstimation that allows to estimate the predictive performance of different approaches (workflows) to predictive tasks. The infra-structure is generic in the…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2015-09-08 Luis Torgo

Prediction and causal explanation are fundamentally distinct tasks of data analysis. In health applications, this difference can be understood in terms of the difference between prognosis (prediction) and prevention/treatment (causal…

Machine Learning (ML) has already fundamentally changed several businesses. More recently, it has also been profoundly impacting the computational science and engineering domains, like geoscience, climate science, and health science. In…

Model explainability has become an important problem in machine learning (ML) due to the increased effect that algorithmic predictions have on humans. Explanations can help users understand not only why ML models make certain predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Ana Lucic

Calibration is a pivotal aspect in predictive modeling, as it ensures that the predictions closely correspond with what we observe empirically. The contemporary calibration framework, however, is predominantly focused on prediction models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Bavo De Cock Campo

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) and, at its core, reward modeling have become a crucial part of training powerful large language models (LLMs). One commonly overlooked factor in training high-quality reward models (RMs) is…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Kian Ahrabian , Pegah Jandaghi , Negar Mokhberian , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Jay Pujara

Automated per-instance algorithm selection and configuration have shown promising performances for a number of classic optimization problems, including satisfiability, AI planning, and TSP. The techniques often rely on a set of features…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-10-01 Tome Eftimov , Gorjan Popovski , Quentin Renau , Peter Korosec , Carola Doerr

Virtually all machine learning tasks are characterized using some form of loss function, and "good performance" is typically stated in terms of a sufficiently small average loss, taken over the random draw of test data. While optimizing for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland , Kazuki Tanabe

One compelling vision of the future of materials discovery and design involves the use of machine learning (ML) models to predict materials properties and then rapidly find materials tailored for specific applications. However, realizing…

Predictive models that are developed in a regulated industry or a regulated application, like determination of credit worthiness, must be interpretable and rational (e.g., meaningful improvements in basic credit behavior must result in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Bob Vanderheyden , Jennifer Priestley

In traditional machine learning techniques, the degree of closeness between true and predicted values generally measures the quality of predictions. However, these learning algorithms do not consider prescription problems where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Mehmet Kolcu , Alper E. Murat

Machine learning (ML) is becoming a commodity. Numerous ML frameworks and services are available to data holders who are not ML experts but want to train predictive models on their data. It is important that ML models trained on sensitive…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2017-09-28 Congzheng Song , Thomas Ristenpart , Vitaly Shmatikov

Although machine learning (ML)-based performance outcome prediction is an important topic in contemporary sports science, one important issue is the limited understanding of the cross-individual generalizability of ML models in sports…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Ryota Takamido , Chiharu Suzuki , Hiroki Nakamoto

Incomplete data are common in practical applications. Most predictive machine learning models do not handle missing values so they require some preprocessing. Although many algorithms are used for data imputation, we do not understand the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Katarzyna Woźnica , Przemysław Biecek

The field of learning analytics needs to adopt a more rigorous approach for predictive model evaluation that matches the complex practice of model-building. In this work, we present a procedure to statistically test hypotheses about model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

A crucial aspect in reliable machine learning is to design a deployable system in generalizing new related but unobserved environments. Domain generalization aims to alleviate such a prediction gap between the observed and unseen…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-01 Changjian Shui , Boyu Wang , Christian Gagné

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

Despite successful use in a wide variety of disciplines for data analysis and prediction, machine learning (ML) methods suffer from a lack of understanding of the reliability of predictions due to the lack of transparency and black-box…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-04-04 Evan Askanazi , Ilya Grinberg