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We develop a finite-sample optimal estimator for regression discontinuity design when the outcomes are bounded, including binary outcomes as the leading case. Our estimator achieves minimax mean squared error among linear shrinkage…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-29 Takuya Ishihara , Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Yata

We study distribution testing without direct access to a source of relevant data, but rather to one where only a tiny fraction is relevant. To enable this, we introduce the following verification query model. The goal is to perform a…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Hadley Black , Christopher Ye

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Xinjia Chen

For $\chi^2-$tests with increasing number of cells, Cramer-von Mises tests, tests generated $\mathbb{L}_2$- norms of kernel estimators and tests generated quadratic forms of estimators of Fourier coefficients, we find necessary and…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-13 Mikhail Ermakov

I consider a class of statistical decision problems in which the policymaker must decide between two policies to maximize social welfare (e.g., the population mean of an outcome) based on a finite sample. The framework introduced in this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-04 Kohei Yata

We point out necessary and sufficient conditions of uniform consistency of nonparametric sets of alternatives for widespread nonparametric tests. Nonparametric sets of alternatives can be defined both in terms of distribution function and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Mikhail Ermakov

We study the switch distribution, introduced by Van Erven et al. (2012), applied to model selection and subsequent estimation. While switching was known to be strongly consistent, here we show that it achieves minimax optimal parametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-16 Stéphanie van der Pas , Peter Grünwald

The statistical analysis of discrete data has been the subject of extensive statistical research dating back to the work of Pearson. In this survey we review some recently developed methods for testing hypotheses about high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-19 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

Straightforward methods for adapting the familiar chi^2 statistic to histograms of discrete events and other Poisson distributed data generally yield biased estimates of the parameters of a model. The bias can be important even when the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-03-12 Joseph W. Fowler

Minimax problems have achieved success in machine learning such as adversarial training, robust optimization, reinforcement learning. For theoretical analysis, current optimal excess risk bounds, which are composed by generalization error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

This paper is concerned with the problem of conditional independence testing for discrete data. In recent years, researchers have shed new light on this fundamental problem, emphasizing finite-sample optimality. The non-asymptotic viewpoint…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-31 Ilmun Kim , Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster…

The problem of fitting an event distribution when the total expected number of events is not fixed, keeps appearing in experimental studies. In a chi-square fit, if overall normalization is one of the parameters parameters to be fit, the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-07-01 Byron Roe

In the pivotal variable selection problem, we derive the exact non-asymptotic minimax selector over the class of all $s$-sparse vectors, which is also the Bayes selector with respect to the uniform prior. While this optimal selector is, in…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-03 Cristina Butucea , Enno Mammen , Mohamed Ndaoud , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Generalized linear models are often misspecified due to overdispersion, heteroscedasticity and ignored nuisance variables. Existing quasi-likelihood methods for testing in misspecified models often do not provide satisfactory type-I error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J Goeman , Livio Finos

Statistical data is often analyzed as a contingency table, sometimes with empty cells called zeros. Such sparse tables can be due to scarse observations classified in numerous categories, as for example in genetic association studies. Thus,…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-07-28 Audrey Finkler

Statistical data is often analyzed as a contingency table, sometimes with empty cells called zeros. Such sparse tables can be due to scarse observations classified in numerous categories, as for example in genetic association studies. Thus,…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-07-28 Audrey Finkler

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different types with unknown proportions, how do we estimate the probability of discovering a new type at the $(n+1)$-th draw? This is a classical problem in statistics,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-27 Fadhel Ayed , Marco Battiston , Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

Low-rank matrix completion concerns the problem of estimating unobserved entries in a matrix using a sparse set of observed entries. We consider the non-uniform setting where the observed entries are sampled with highly varying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-04 Xumei Xi , Christina Lee Yu , Yudong Chen