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Multivariate time-series analysis involves extracting informative representations from sequences of multiple interdependent variables, supporting tasks such as forecasting, imputation, and anomaly detection. In real-world scenarios, these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Israel Zexer , Omri Azencot

Time series forecasting is essential for a wide range of real-world applications. Recent studies have shown the superiority of Transformer in dealing with such problems, especially long sequence time series input(LSTI) and long sequence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Li Shen , Yangzhu Wang

In the domain of multivariate time series analysis, the concept of channel independence has been increasingly adopted, demonstrating excellent performance due to its ability to eliminate noise and the influence of irrelevant variables.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Haoxin Wang , Yipeng Mo , Kunlan Xiang , Nan Yin , Honghe Dai , Bixiong Li , Songhai Fan , Site Mo

Time series forecasting has attracted significant attention in the field of AI. Previous works have revealed that the Channel-Independent (CI) strategy improves forecasting performance by modeling each channel individually, but it often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Dongyuan Li , Shun Zheng , Chang Xu , Jiang Bian , Renhe Jiang

Transformer-based architectures achieved breakthrough performance in natural language processing and computer vision, yet they remain inferior to simpler linear baselines in multivariate long-term forecasting. To better understand this…

Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has become increasingly important in real-world applications, where labeled data are often scarce. Many existing approaches rely on unsupervised learning to model normal patterns, but they often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Jaehyeop Hong , Youngbum Hur

Recent advancements in foundation models have been successfully extended to the time series (TS) domain, facilitated by the emergence of large-scale TS datasets. However, previous efforts have primarily Capturing channel dependency (CD) is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Seunghan Lee , Taeyoung Park , Kibok Lee

Recency bias is a useful inductive prior for sequential modeling: it emphasizes nearby observations and can still allow longer-range dependencies. Standard Transformer attention lacks this property, relying on all-to-all interactions that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Kareem Hegazy , Michael W. Mahoney , N. Benjamin Erichson

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Real-world time series data are inherently multivariate, often exhibiting complex inter-channel dependencies. Each channel is typically sampled at its own period and is prone to missing values due to various practical and operational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Jinkwan Jang , Hyungjin Park , Jinmyeong Choi , Taesup Kim

Transformers have recently gained popularity in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture long-term dependencies. However, many existing models focus only on capturing temporal dependencies while omitting intricate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Donghwa Shin , Edwin Zhang

The growing reliance of machine learning models in high-stakes, highly regulated domains such as finance and insurance has created a growing tension between predictive performance, interpretability, and regulatory fairness requirements. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Panyi Dong , Zhiyu Quan

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

In Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), the lookback window is a critical hyperparameter often set arbitrarily, undermining the validity of model evaluations. We argue that the lookback window must be tuned on a per-task basis to…

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

Transformers have shown great power in time series forecasting due to their global-range modeling ability. However, their performance can degenerate terribly on non-stationary real-world data in which the joint distribution changes over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yong Liu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a crucial aspect of modern society, playing a pivotal role in facilitating long-term planning and developing early warning systems. While many Transformer-based models have recently been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Yuntian Chen