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Distribution shifts, where statistical properties differ between training and test datasets, present a significant challenge in real-world machine learning applications where they directly impact model generalization and robustness. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Vegard Flovik

Missing data frequently arises across diverse domains, including time-series and image domains. In the real world, missing occurrences often depend on the unobservable values themselves, which are referred to as Missing Not at Random…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Gyuwon Sim , Sumin Lee , Heesun Bae , Byeonghu Na , Doyun Kwon , Ju-Hee Hwang , Jae-Young Lim , Il-Chul Moon

When machine learning models are deployed on a test distribution different from the training distribution, they can perform poorly, but overestimate their performance. In this work, we aim to better estimate a model's performance under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-08 Ching-Yao Chuang , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

Conducting valid statistical analyses is challenging in the presence of missing-not-at-random (MNAR) data, where the missingness mechanism is dependent on the missing values themselves even conditioned on the observed data. Here, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Anna Guo , Jiwei Zhao , Razieh Nabi

How to learn a good predictor on data with missing values? Most efforts focus on first imputing as well as possible and second learning on the completed data to predict the outcome. Yet, this widespread practice has no theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-01 Marine Le Morvan , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

This paper gives a general method for deriving limiting distributions of complete case statistics for missing data models from corresponding results for the model where all data are observed. This provides a convenient tool for obtaining…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-20 Hira L. Koul , Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick

Symmetry-aware methods for machine learning, such as data augmentation and equivariant architectures, encourage correct model behavior on all transformations (e.g. rotations or permutations) of the original dataset. These methods can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Hannah Lawrence , Elyssa Hofgard , Vasco Portilheiro , Yuxuan Chen , Tess Smidt , Robin Walters

Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

As input data distributions evolve, the predictive performance of machine learning models tends to deteriorate. In practice, new input data tend to come without target labels. Then, state-of-the-art techniques model input data distributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-08 Carlos Mougan , Klaus Broelemann , David Masip , Gjergji Kasneci , Thanassis Thiropanis , Steffen Staab

Missing data has the potential to affect analyses conducted in all fields of scientific study, including healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. Several approaches to unbiased inference in the presence of non-ignorable missingness…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Razieh Nabi , Rohit Bhattacharya , Ilya Shpitser

Large-scale population-level datasets, such as the UK Biobank and the All of Us Research Program, often lack covariates needed for a specific analysis, such as genetic or lifestyle measures, while related studies measure them. This creates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Huali Zhao , Tianying Wang

Missing data are a common problem for both the construction and implementation of a prediction algorithm. Pattern mixture kernel submodels (PMKS) - a series of submodels for every missing data pattern that are fit using only data from that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-27 Sarah Fletcher Mercaldo , Jeffrey D. Blume

Pattern-mixture models provide a transparent approach for handling missing data, where the full-data distribution is factorized in a way that explicitly shows the parts that can be estimated from observed data alone, and the parts that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-26 Yen-Chi Chen , Mauricio Sadinle

High throughput metabolomics data are fraught with both non-ignorable missing observations and unobserved factors that influence a metabolite's measured concentration, and it is well known that ignoring either of these complications can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Chris McKennan , Carole Ober , Dan Nicolae

We introduce and study Swap Agnostic Learning. The problem can be phrased as a game between a predictor and an adversary: first, the predictor selects a hypothesis $h$; then, the adversary plays in response, and for each level set of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Parikshit Gopalan , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold

Generative models have shown strong potential as data-driven priors for solving inverse problems such as reconstructing medical images from undersampled measurements. While these priors improve reconstruction quality with fewer…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Namhoon Kim , Sara Fridovich-Keil

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet