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This paper proposes various new analysis techniques for Bayes networks in which conditional probability tables (CPTs) may contain symbolic variables. The key idea is to exploit scalable and powerful techniques for synthesis problems in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Bahare Salmani , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Previous work on sensitivity analysis in Bayesian networks has focused on single parameters, where the goal is to understand the sensitivity of queries to single parameter changes, and to identify single parameter changes that would enforce…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Hei Chan , Adnan Darwiche

Many Bayesian network modelling applications suffer from the issue of data scarcity. Hence the use of expert judgement often becomes necessary to determine the parameters of the conditional probability tables (CPTs) throughout the network.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Kieran Drury , Martine J. Barons , Jim Q. Smith

This paper deals with the following problem: modify a Bayesian network to satisfy a given set of probability constraints by only change its conditional probability tables, and the probability distribution of the resulting network should be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Yun Peng , Zhongli Ding

A difficult task in modeling with Bayesian networks is the elicitation of numerical parameters of Bayesian networks. A large number of parameters is needed to specify a conditional probability table (CPT) that has a larger parent set. In…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-08-10 Jiří Vomlel , Petr Tichavský

This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Eric Bauer , Daphne Koller , Yoram Singer

When applying Machine Learning techniques to problems, one must select model parameters to ensure that the system converges but also does not become stuck at the objective function's local minimum. Tuning these parameters becomes a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-16 Lawrence Stewart , Mark Stalzer

This paper derives lower bounds for the mean square errors of parameter estimators in the case of Poisson distributed data subjected to multiple abrupt changes. Since both change locations (discrete parameters) and parameters of the Poisson…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-10-31 Lucien Bacharach , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Alexandre Renaux , Jean-Yves Tourneret

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

There is an obvious need for improving the performance and accuracy of a Bayesian network as new data is observed. Because of errors in model construction and changes in the dynamics of the domains, we cannot afford to ignore the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt

We investigate the choice of tuning parameters for a Bayesian multi-level group lasso model developed for the joint analysis of neuroimaging and genetic data. The regression model we consider relates multivariate phenotypes consisting of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-29 Farouk S. Nathoo , Keelin Greenlaw , Mary Lesperance

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

A representation of the cause-effect mechanism is needed to enable artificial intelligence to represent how the world works. Bayesian Networks (BNs) have proven to be an effective and versatile tool for this task. BNs require constructing a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Joverlyn Gaudillo , Nicole Astrologo , Fabio Stella , Enzo Acerbi , Francesco Canonaco

Choosing appropriate hyperparameters plays a crucial role in the success of neural networks as hyper-parameters directly control the behavior and performance of the training algorithms. To obtain efficient tuning, Bayesian optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Jiazhao Zhang , Ying Hung , Chung-Ching Lin , Zicheng Liu

Identifiability of parameters is an essential property for a statistical model to be useful in most settings. However, establishing parameter identifiability for Bayesian networks with hidden variables remains challenging. In the context of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-04 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes , Elena Stanghellini , Marco Valtorta

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

We explore the issue of refining an existent Bayesian network structure using new data which might mention only a subset of the variables. Most previous works have only considered the refinement of the network's conditional probability…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Wai Lam , Fahiem Bacchus

The Bayesian learning rule is a natural-gradient variational inference method, which not only contains many existing learning algorithms as special cases but also enables the design of new algorithms. Unfortunately, when variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Bayesian Networks (BN) provide robust probabilistic methods of reasoning under uncertainty, but despite their formal grounds are strictly based on the notion of conditional dependence, not much attention has been paid so far to their use in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Luigi Portinale , Andrea Bobbio

We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli
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