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相关论文: Counterfactual Outcome Prediction using Structured…

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This paper studies sequence modeling for prediction tasks with long range dependencies. We propose a new formulation for state space models (SSMs) based on learning linear dynamical systems with the spectral filtering algorithm (Hazan et…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-12 Naman Agarwal , Daniel Suo , Xinyi Chen , Elad Hazan

In the context of medical decision making, counterfactual prediction enables clinicians to predict treatment outcomes of interest under alternative courses of therapeutic actions given observed patient history. In this work, we present…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Hong Xiong , Feng Wu , Leon Deng , Megan Su , Li-wei H Lehman

Spatiotemporal forecasting techniques are significant for various domains such as transportation, energy, and weather. Accurate prediction of spatiotemporal series remains challenging due to the complex spatiotemporal heterogeneity. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Haotian Gao , Renhe Jiang , Zheng Dong , Jinliang Deng , Yuxin Ma , Xuan Song

Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Farbod Alinezhad , Jianfei Cao , Gary J. Young , Brady Post

Counterfactual estimation using synthetic controls is one of the most successful recent methodological developments in causal inference. Despite its popularity, the current description only considers time series aligned across units and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-03 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

Large-scale neural language models exhibit remarkable performance in in-context learning: the ability to learn and reason about the input context on the fly. This work studies in-context counterfactual reasoning in language models, that is,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Moritz Miller , Bernhard Schölkopf , Siyuan Guo

In this paper, we present SSDNet, a novel deep learning approach for time series forecasting. SSDNet combines the Transformer architecture with state space models to provide probabilistic and interpretable forecasts, including trend and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Yang Lin , Irena Koprinska , Mashud Rana

Although state-space models (SSMs) have demonstrated strong performance on long-sequence benchmarks, most research has emphasized predictive accuracy rather than interpretability. In this work, we present the first systematic kernel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Srividya Ravikumar , Abhinav Anand , Shweta Verma , Mira Mezini

The Synthetic Control method has pioneered a class of powerful data-driven techniques to estimate the counterfactual reality of a unit from donor units. At its core, the technique involves a linear model fitted on the pre-intervention…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Bhishma Dedhia , Roshini Balasubramanian , Niraj K. Jha

Neural operators have recently grown in popularity as Partial Differential Equation (PDE) surrogate models. Learning solution functionals, rather than functions, has proven to be a powerful approach to calculate fast, accurate solutions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Cooper Lorsung , Amir Barati Farimani

This paper tackles the problem of time-to-event counterfactual survival prediction, aiming to optimize individualized survival outcomes in the presence of heterogeneity and censored data. We propose CURE, a framework that advances…

In this work, we introduce S4M, a new efficient speech separation framework based on neural state-space models (SSM). Motivated by linear time-invariant systems for sequence modeling, our SSM-based approach can efficiently model input…

声音 · 计算机科学 2023-05-29 Chen Chen , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Kai Li , Yuchen Hu , Pin-Jui Ku , Eng Siong Chng

Modeling the time-series of high-dimensional, longitudinal data is important for predicting patient disease progression. However, existing neural network based approaches that learn representations of patient state, while very flexible, are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-21 Zeshan Hussain , Rahul G. Krishnan , David Sontag

Counterfactual prediction is about predicting outcome of the unobserved situation from the data. For example, given patient is on drug A, what would be the outcome if she switch to drug B. Most of existing works focus on modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Yanbo Xu , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

Artificial intelligence is increasingly leveraged across various domains to automate decision-making processes that significantly impact human lives. In medical image analysis, deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable performance.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Julia Siekiera , Stefan Kramer

Structured state space models (SSMs) have recently emerged as a promising foundation for sequence modeling, with Mamba-based architectures demonstrating strong performance through input-dependent state transitions, albeit at considerable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Hassan Saadatmand , Geoffrey I. Webb , Hamid Rezatofighi , Mahsa Salehi

Counterfactual inference has become a ubiquitous tool in online advertisement, recommendation systems, medical diagnosis, and econometrics. Accurate modeling of outcome distributions associated with different interventions -- known as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Krikamol Muandet , Motonobu Kanagawa , Sorawit Saengkyongam , Sanparith Marukatat

Effectively modeling long spatiotemporal sequences is challenging due to the need to model complex spatial correlations and long-range temporal dependencies simultaneously. ConvLSTMs attempt to address this by updating tensor-valued states…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Jimmy T. H. Smith , Shalini De Mello , Jan Kautz , Scott W. Linderman , Wonmin Byeon

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in integrating linear state-space models (SSM) in deep neural network architectures of foundation models. This is exemplified by the recent success of Mamba, showing better performance than…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-26 Carmen Amo Alonso , Jerome Sieber , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Structural Nested Mean Models (SNMMs) are useful for causal inference of treatment effects in longitudinal observational studies. Most existing works assume that the data are collected at pre-fixed time points for all subjects, which,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Shu Yang