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We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

This paper addresses the limitations of multi-node perception and delayed scheduling response in distributed systems by proposing a GNN-based multi-node collaborative perception mechanism. The system is modeled as a graph structure.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Wenxuan Zhu , Qiyuan Wu , Tengda Tang , Renzi Meng , Sheng Chai , Xuehui Quan

Physical systems with complex unsteady dynamics, such as fluid flows, are often poorly represented by a single mean solution. For many practical applications, it is crucial to access the full distribution of possible states, from which…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 Mario Lino , Tobias Pfaff , Nils Thuerey

Learning distributions of graphs can be used for automatic drug discovery, molecular design, complex network analysis, and much more. We present an improved framework for learning generative models of graphs based on the idea of deep state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Julian Stier , Michael Granitzer

This paper proposes using a sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian to provide a closed-form approximator for the output of probabilistic ensemble models used for dense image prediction tasks. This is achieved through a convolutional neural…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-30 Ivor J. A. Simpson , Sara Vicente , Neill D. F. Campbell

In this work, we present a novel approach to system identification for dynamical systems, based on a specific class of Deep Gaussian Processes (Deep GPs). These models are constructed by interconnecting linear dynamic GPs (equivalent to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Piga , Marco Forgione , Marco Zaffalon

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Chance-constrained motion planning requires uncertainty in dynamics to be propagated into uncertainty in state. When nonlinear models are used, Gaussian assumptions on the state distribution do not necessarily apply since almost all random…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-31 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

The ubiquity of multiscale interactions in complex systems is well-recognized, with development and heredity serving as a prime example of how processes at different temporal scales influence one another. This work introduces a novel…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-04 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler

Bayesian graphical modeling provides an appealing way to obtain uncertainty estimates when inferring network structures, and much recent progress has been made for Gaussian models. These models have been used extensively in applications to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-06 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

We introduce a new approach for amortizing inference in directed graphical models by learning heuristic approximations to stochastic inverses, designed specifically for use as proposal distributions in sequential Monte Carlo methods. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-09 Brooks Paige , Frank Wood

State-space models are a popular statistical framework for analysing sequential data. Within this framework, particle filters are often used to perform inference on non-linear state-space models. We introduce a new method, StateMixNN, that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Benjamin Cox , Santiago Segarra , Victor Elvira

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) are widely used in high-dimensional data analysis to synthesize the interaction between variables. In many applications, such as genomics or image analysis, graphical models rely on sparsity and clustering…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Do Edmond Sanou , Christophe Ambroise , Geneviève Robin

Deep learning-based multivariate and multistep-ahead traffic forecasting models are typically trained with the mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE) as the loss function in a sequence-to-sequence setting, simply assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Seongjin Choi , Nicolas Saunier , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

Particle dynamics and multi-agent systems provide accurate dynamical models for studying and forecasting the behavior of complex interacting systems. They often take the form of a high-dimensional system of differential equations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-09 Yuxuan Liu , Scott G. McCalla , Hayden Schaeffer

The correlation length-scale next to the noise variance are the most used hyperparameters for the Gaussian processes. Typically, stationary covariance functions are used, which are only dependent on the distances between input points and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-30 Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

The data-based discovery of effective, coarse-grained (CG) models of high-dimensional dynamical systems presents a unique challenge in computational physics and particularly in the context of multiscale problems. The present paper offers a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-02-10 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Probabilistic theory and differential equation are powerful tools for the interpretability and guidance of the design of machine learning models, especially for illuminating the mathematical motivation of learning latent variable from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Zhuangwei Shi