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Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

Motivated by the pursuit of safe, reliable, and weather-tolerant urban air mobility (UAM) solutions, this work proposes a generative modeling approach for characterizing microweather wind velocities. Microweather, or the weather conditions…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Tristan A. Shah , Michael C. Stanley , James E. Warner

Richtmyer-Meshkov Instability (RMI) is a complicated phenomenon that occurs when a shockwave passes through a perturbed interface. Over a thousand hydrodynamic simulations were performed to study the formation of RMI for a parameterized…

Coastal flooding drives considerable risks to many communities, but projections of future flood risks are deeply uncertain. The paucity of observations of extreme events often motivates the use of statistical approaches to model the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Tony E. Wong , Alexandra Klufas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution climate models or downscaling. High-resolution models are…

Accurate weather forecasts are critical for societal planning and disaster preparedness. Yet these forecasts remain challenging to produce and evaluate, especially in regions with sparse observational coverage. Current evaluation of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-30 Aman Gupta , Aditi Sheshadri , Dhruv Suri

Most of statistics and AI draw insights through modelling discord or variance between sources of information (i.e., inter-source uncertainty). Increasingly, however, research is focusing upon uncertainty arising at the level of individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Shaily Kabir , Christian Wagner , Zack Ellerby

Forecasting earthquake sequences remains a central challenge in seismology, particularly under non-stationary conditions. While deep learning models have shown promise, their ability to generalize across time remains poorly understood. We…

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing unresolved physical processes, such as cloud and convection.…

Reliable prediction of large chaotic sytems in the short to middle time range is of interest in a number of fields, including climate, ecology, seismology, and economics. In this paper, results from chaos theory, and statistical theory are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-17 M. LuValle

As autonomous systems become more complex and integral in our society, the need to accurately model and safely control these systems has increased significantly. In the past decade, there has been tremendous success in using deep learning…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Hao Wang , Javier Borquez , Somil Bansal

This study introduces ReSA-ConvLSTM, an artificial intelligence (AI) framework for systematic bias correction in numerical weather prediction (NWP). We propose three innovations by integrating dynamic climatological normalization, ConvLSTM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-23 Xiao Zhou , Yuze Sun , Jie Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

A central area of research in nonlinear science is the study of instabilities that drive the emergence of extreme events. Unfortunately, experimental techniques for measuring such phenomena often provide only partial characterization. For…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-06-19 Mikko Närhi , Lauri Salmela , Juha Toivonen , Cyril Billet , John M. Dudley , Goëry Genty

Artificial intelligence (AI) has achieved human-level performance in specialized tasks such as Go, image recognition, and protein folding, raising the prospect of an AI singularity-where machines not only match but surpass human reasoning.…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Zhongxin Yang , Yuanwei Bin , Yipeng Shi , Xiang I. A. Yang

Numerical simulation of fluids plays an essential role in modeling many physical phenomena, such as weather, climate, aerodynamics and plasma physics. Fluids are well described by the Navier-Stokes equations, but solving these equations at…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-04-27 Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Ayya Alieva , Qing Wang , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Models of complex dynamical systems like the Earth's climate often involve large numbers of uncertain parameters. Comprehensive exploration of the parameter space is typically prohibitive due to excessive computational costs. Systematic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-27 Daniel Pals , Sebastian Bathiany , Richard Wood , Joel Kuettel , Niklas Boers

Machine Learning has become a pervasive tool in climate science applications. However, current models fail to address nonstationarity induced by anthropogenic alterations in greenhouse emissions and do not routinely quantify the uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Simon Dräger , Maike Sonnewald

Weather forecasting centers currently rely on statistical postprocessing methods to minimize forecast error. This improves skill but can lead to predictions that violate physical principles or disregard dependencies between variables, which…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-23 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Tom Beucler , Mark A. Liniger

Whether singularities can form in fluids remains a foundational unanswered question in mathematics. This phenomenon occurs when solutions to governing equations, such as the 3D Euler equations, develop infinite gradients from smooth initial…