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Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Minju Kim , Youngbum Hur

Time series foundation models are pre-trained on large datasets and are able to achieve state-of-the-art performance in diverse tasks. However, to date, there has been limited work demonstrating how well these models perform in medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Mingzhu Liu , Angela H. Chen , George H. Chen

Normalization and scaling are fundamental preprocessing steps in time series modeling, yet their role in Transformer-based models remains underexplored from a theoretical perspective. In this work, we present the first formal analysis of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Sofiane Ennadir , Tianze Wang , Oleg Smirnov , Sahar Asadi , Lele Cao

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Time series forecasting holds significant importance in many real-world dynamic systems and has been extensively studied. Unlike natural language process (NLP) and computer vision (CV), where a single large model can tackle multiple tasks,…

When deploying pre-trained neural network models in real-world applications, model consumers often encounter resource-constraint platforms such as mobile and smart devices. They typically use the pruning technique to reduce the size and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-19 Mark Huasong Meng , Guangdong Bai , Sin Gee Teo , Jin Song Dong

Deep learning (DL) approaches are being increasingly used for time-series forecasting, with many efforts devoted to designing complex DL models. Recent studies have shown that the DL success is often attributed to effective data…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Jianing Hao , Qing Shi , Yilin Ye , Wei Zeng

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Machine learning methods trained on raw numerical time series data exhibit fundamental limitations such as a high sensitivity to the hyper parameters and even to the initialization of random weights. A combination of a recurrent neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-13 Steven Elsworth , Stefan Güttel

Time series data are ubiquitous across diverse real-world applications, making time series analysis critically important. Traditional approaches are largely task-specific, offering limited functionality and poor transferability. In recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Jiexia Ye , Yongzi Yu , Weiqi Zhang , Le Wang , Jia Li , Fugee Tsung

In this paper, we are concerned with improving the forecast capabilities of the Global approach to Time Series. We assume that the normal techniques of Global mapping are applied, the noise reduction is performed, etc. Then, using the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 L. M. C. R. Barbosa , L. G. S. Duarte , C. A. Linhares , L. A. C. P. da Mota

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

We present a novel approach for time series classification where we represent time series data as plot images and feed them to a simple CNN, outperforming several state-of-the-art methods. We propose a simple and highly replicable way of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Nuno M. Rodrigues , João E. Batista , Leonardo Trujillo , Bernardo Duarte , Mario Giacobini , Leonardo Vanneschi , Sara Silva

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

This paper presents non-parametric baseline models for time series forecasting. Unlike classical forecasting models, the proposed approach does not assume any parametric form for the predictive distribution and instead generates predictions…

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Many important problems require modelling large-scale spatio-temporal datasets, with one prevalent example being weather forecasting. Recently, transformer-based approaches have shown great promise in a range of weather forecasting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-11 Matthew Ashman , Cristiana Diaconu , Eric Langezaal , Adrian Weller , Richard E. Turner

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough
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