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In statistical dialogue management, the dialogue manager learns a policy that maps a belief state to an action for the system to perform. Efficient exploration is key to successful policy optimisation. Current deep reinforcement learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-04 Christopher Tegho , Paweł Budzianowski , Milica Gašić

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Assessing the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks is crucial for safety-related applications of deep learning. Although Bayesian deep learning offers a principled framework for estimating model uncertainty, the common approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Yookoon Park , David M. Blei

We propose a scalable Bayesian preference learning method for jointly predicting the preferences of individuals as well as the consensus of a crowd from pairwise labels. Peoples' opinions often differ greatly, making it difficult to predict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-13 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

Equivariant models leverage prior knowledge on symmetries to improve predictive performance, but misspecified architectural constraints can harm it instead. While work has explored learning or relaxing constraints, selecting among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-16 Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans , Dharmesh Tailor , Erik J. Bekkers

While Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold the promise of being flexible, well-calibrated statistical models, inference often requires approximations whose consequences are poorly understood. We study the quality of common variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-26 Andrew Y. K. Foong , David R. Burt , Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Researchers illustrate improvements in contextual encoding strategies via resultant performance on a battery of shared Natural Language Understanding (NLU) tasks. Many of these tasks are of a categorical prediction variety: given a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-06-06 Zhongyang Li , Tongfei Chen , Benjamin Van Durme

To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain net load, most studies utilize a stochastic UC (SUC) model that adopts a one-size-fits-all representation of uncertainty. Disregarding contextual information such as weather forecasts…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-01 Ogun Yurdakul , Feng Qiu , Sahin Albayrak

Gender-bias stereotypes have recently raised significant ethical concerns in natural language processing. However, progress in detection and evaluation of gender bias in natural language understanding through inference is limited and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-05-13 Shanya Sharma , Manan Dey , Koustuv Sinha

In recent years, neural networks have revolutionized various domains, yet challenges such as hyperparameter tuning and overfitting remain significant hurdles. Bayesian neural networks offer a framework to address these challenges by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Hayk Amirkhanian , Marco F. Huber

We study uncertainty quantification for contextual stochastic optimization, focusing on weighted sample average approximation (wSAA), which uses machine-learned relevance weights based on covariates. Although wSAA is widely used for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-14 Yanyuan Wang , Xiaowei Zhang

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

In the machine learning domain, active learning is an iterative data selection algorithm for maximizing information acquisition and improving model performance with limited training samples. It is very useful, especially for the industrial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-24 Xiaowei Yue , Yuchen Wen , Jeffrey H. Hunt , Jianjun Shi

Obtaining heteroscedastic predictive uncertainties from a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) is vital to many applications. Often, heteroscedastic aleatoric uncertainties are learned as outputs of the BNN in addition to the predictive means,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 David J. Schodt , Ryan Brown , Michael Merritt , Samuel Park , Delsin Menolascino , Mark A. Peot

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac

Artificial neural networks (NNs) have become the de facto standard in machine learning. They allow learning highly nonlinear transformations in a plethora of applications. However, NNs usually only provide point estimates without…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-11 Marco F. Huber

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell
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